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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −59.67$

Invest at least 167.57$

Average return 107.91$

ROI −35.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 167.57 $, profit at most −59.67 $

float premium: at least 91 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −63 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

30.01 $

at 30.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New) — 35.01 $ +5.00 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 64.69 $ +34.69 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0104

souvenirSteam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1627
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1138

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

37.28 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71.80 $ +36.10 (+50.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −86 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

60.02 $

at 30.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New) — 35.01 $ +5.00 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 64.69 $ +34.69 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

souvenirSteam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1623
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1136

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

29.83 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.35 $ +25.97 (+27.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −110 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

90.03 $

at 30.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New) — 35.01 $ +5.00 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 64.69 $ +34.69 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

souvenirSteam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1620
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0810
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1134

Steam

×3

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

22.37 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.91 $ +15.83 (+13.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −133 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

120.04 $

at 30.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New) — 35.01 $ +5.00 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 64.69 $ +34.69 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

souvenirSteam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1617
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0808
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1132

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

14.91 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.46 $ +5.70 (+4.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

34.93 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

275.49 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

19.01 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Death Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

286.33 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

218.87 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17.21 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31.10 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3372169 · The Ancient Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 37.30$ · invest 71.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −62 $ rare inputs

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162953 instead of 0.162712; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003942 instead of 0.003869
Craft 3393771 · The Horizon Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 36.40$ · invest 66.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −47 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163088 instead of 0.162712; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003983 instead of 0.003869

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build