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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.02$

Invest 0.73$

Average return 0.75$

ROI +3.2%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 1.86 $, profit at most −1.11 $

float premium: at least 1 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.04 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈5, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

0.67 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 455 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 470 · buy 0.1500–0.1623
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 475 · buy 0.1500–0.1656

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

0.06 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 3 998 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 2 530 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 281 · buy 0.1500–0.1690

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.73 $ +0.02 (+3.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

0.75 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 455 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 470 · buy 0.1500–0.1588
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 475 · buy 0.1500–0.1622

souvenirSteam

×1

Five-SeveN | Forest Night

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

0.04 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear) — 0.05 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear) — 0.05 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 873 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 617 · buy 0.0700–0.0753

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.80 $ +0.04 (+4.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143999

0.59 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.20 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M249 | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.23 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.17 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Urban DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.281999

0.14 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Candy Apple

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

0.19 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.023999

0.11 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.023999

0.13 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Ash Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

0.09 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.035999

0.13 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build