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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −24.74₴

Invest at least 48.16₴

Average return 23.42₴

ROI −51.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 48.16 ₴, profit at most −24.74 ₴

float premium: at least 24 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +6.50 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈8, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

16.26 ₴

at 2.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.12 ₴ +0.09 ₴ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1538
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 2.74 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1230
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 2.82 ₴ +0.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1342

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Bizoom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

2.74 ₴

at 1.37

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Silver Pour (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 22 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0891
M249 | Sleet (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 28 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0919
MP9 | Dizzy (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 36 264 · buy 0.0700–0.0853

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.00 ₴ +4.43 (+23.3%)

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈134, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1917

12.19 ₴

at 2.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.12 ₴ +0.09 ₴ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1757
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 2.12 ₴ +0.09 ₴ per item · on the market 3 366 · buy 0.1500–0.1533
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) — 2.26 ₴ +0.23 ₴ per item · on the market 3 997 · buy 0.1500–0.1597

souvenirSteam

×4

PP-Bizon | Bizoom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0845

5.49 ₴

at 1.37

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Silver Pour (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 22 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0988
M249 | Sleet (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 28 080 · buy 0.0700–0.1019
MP9 | Dizzy (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 36 264 · buy 0.0700–0.0947

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.68 ₴ +0.29 (+1.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈49, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1788

14.22 ₴

at 2.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.12 ₴ +0.09 ₴ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1639
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 2.74 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1311
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 2.82 ₴ +0.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1430

souvenirSteam

×3

PP-Bizon | Bizoom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0800

4.11 ₴

at 1.37

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Silver Pour (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 22 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0936
M249 | Sleet (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 28 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0965
MP9 | Dizzy (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 36 264 · buy 0.0700–0.0896

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.34 ₴ +2.36 (+12.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

18.29 ₴

at 2.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.12 ₴ +0.09 ₴ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1523
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 2.74 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1218
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 2.82 ₴ +0.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1329

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

1.37 ₴

at 1.37

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New) — 1.38 ₴ +0.01 ₴ per item · on the market 7 263 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
SSG 08 | Sans Comic (Factory New) — 1.43 ₴ +0.06 ₴ per item · on the market 10 039 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) — 1.47 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 7 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.66 ₴ +6.50 (+33.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

33.63 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

36.77 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

36.57 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117499

25.91 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Vendetta

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.84 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Aeolian Dark

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162499

1.82 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Snow Splash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.04 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Snow Splash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.92 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber

Field-Tested

float up to 0.200847

1.48 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Achroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.40 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.81 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Achroma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build