The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4576

112.37 ₸

at 112.37

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Battle-Scarred) — 129.35 ₸ +16.98 ₸ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.4500–0.4576
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Well-Worn) — 136.49 ₸ +24.13 ₸ per item · on the market 329 · buy 0.3800–0.3813
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Field-Tested) — 146.39 ₸ +34.02 ₸ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.3584

souvenirSteam

×5

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4780

73.67 ₸

at 14.73

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dune Asp (Battle-Scarred) — 16.87 ₸ +2.14 ₸ per item · on the market 1 310 · buy 0.4500–0.4780
SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script (Battle-Scarred) — 18.84 ₸ +4.11 ₸ per item · on the market 1 385 · buy 0.4500–0.4780
Nova | Morning Sun (Battle-Scarred) — 19.01 ₸ +4.27 ₸ per item · on the market 1 134 · buy 0.4500–0.4780

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Traitor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

97.41 ₸

at 24.35

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction (Field-Tested) — 25.25 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 061 · buy 0.1500–0.1617
Nova | Morning Sun (Field-Tested) — 25.98 ₸ +1.63 ₸ per item · on the market 1 130 · buy 0.1500–0.1617
SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script (Field-Tested) — 27.22 ₸ +2.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 040 · buy 0.1500–0.1617

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 283.45 ₸ +12.15 (+4.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 68%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Snake Song

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

197.68 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

216.18 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

205.44 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

Tec-9 | Sultan

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

320.84 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

1 231.58 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208999

1 308.69 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Field-Tested

float up to 0.186199

1 200.76 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208999

1 394.62 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −32.51 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.17 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build

What you get 8 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build