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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −24.50₴

Invest at least 48.16₴

Average return 23.67₴

ROI −50.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 48.16 ₴, profit at most −24.50 ₴

float premium: at least 24 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +6.18 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈9, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

16.26 ₴

at 2.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.12 ₴ +0.09 ₴ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1543
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 2.74 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1234
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 2.82 ₴ +0.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1347

souvenirSteam

×2

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

2.74 ₴

at 1.37

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 22 940 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
MP5-SD | Lime Hex (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 28 113 · buy 0.0700–0.0812
MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 9 731 · buy 0.0700–0.0891

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.00 ₴ +4.67 (+24.6%)

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈144, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1932

12.19 ₴

at 2.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.12 ₴ +0.09 ₴ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1771
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 2.12 ₴ +0.09 ₴ per item · on the market 3 366 · buy 0.1500–0.1546
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) — 2.26 ₴ +0.23 ₴ per item · on the market 3 997 · buy 0.1500–0.1610

souvenirSteam

×4

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0850

5.49 ₴

at 1.37

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 22 940 · buy 0.0700–0.0903
MP5-SD | Lime Hex (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 28 113 · buy 0.0700–0.0904
MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 9 731 · buy 0.0700–0.0992

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.68 ₴ +0.77 (+4.4%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈56, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1798

14.22 ₴

at 2.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.12 ₴ +0.09 ₴ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 2.74 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1318
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 2.82 ₴ +0.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1438

souvenirSteam

×3

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

4.11 ₴

at 1.37

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 22 940 · buy 0.0700–0.0853
MP5-SD | Lime Hex (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 28 113 · buy 0.0700–0.0854
MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 9 731 · buy 0.0700–0.0937

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.34 ₴ +2.72 (+14.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

18.29 ₴

at 2.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.12 ₴ +0.09 ₴ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1522
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 2.74 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1218
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 2.82 ₴ +0.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1328

souvenirSteam

×1

P90 | Blue Tac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

1.81 ₴

at 1.81

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Factory New) — 1.82 ₴ +0.01 ₴ per item · on the market 6 766 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) — 1.82 ₴ +0.01 ₴ per item · on the market 5 496 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
MP5-SD | Lime Hex (Factory New) — 1.86 ₴ +0.05 ₴ per item · on the market 5 329 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.10 ₴ +6.18 (+30.7%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

Order

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

33.63 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

36.77 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

36.57 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117499

25.91 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

1.85 ₴ 2.22%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Sky Blue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.05 ₴ 2.22%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Robin's Egg

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.22 ₴ 2.22%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Ocean Topo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9.36 ₴ 2.22%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.65 ₴ 2.22%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Sour Grapes

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

1.86 ₴ 2.22%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Field-Tested

float up to 0.169607

1.80 ₴ 2.22%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

1.37 ₴ 2.22%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.82 ₴ 2.22%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.18 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.05 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

More

How to build