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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +0.01$

Invest 1.98$

Average return 1.99$

ROI +0.7%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 4.94 $, profit at most −2.95 $

float premium: at least 3 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.08 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈11, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1778

1.85 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1778
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1393
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1482

souvenirSteam

×4

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1778

0.12 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 4 593 · buy 0.1500–0.1608
Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 4 778 · buy 0.1500–0.1897
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 3 509 · buy 0.1500–0.1660

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.98 $ +0.01 (+0.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

2.16 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1740
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1363
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1450

souvenirSteam

×3

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

0.09 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 4 593 · buy 0.1500–0.1574
Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 4 778 · buy 0.1500–0.1856
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 3 509 · buy 0.1500–0.1624

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.25 $ +0.04 (+1.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

2.47 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1704
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1335
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1420

souvenirSteam

×2

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

0.06 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 4 593 · buy 0.1500–0.1541
Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 4 778 · buy 0.1500–0.1818
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 3 509 · buy 0.1500–0.1590

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.53 $ +0.06 (+2.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

2.78 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1669
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1307
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1391

souvenirSteam

×1

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

0.03 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 4 593 · buy 0.1500–0.1510
Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 4 778 · buy 0.1500–0.1781
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 3 509 · buy 0.1500–0.1558

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.81 $ +0.08 (+2.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.136363

3.00 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.96 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133636

2.91 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.81 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163636

0.21 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.190909

0.23 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163636

0.20 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Field-Tested

float up to 0.177272

0.22 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Reef Grief

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163636

0.20 $ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.27 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build