The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

559.69 ₸

at 139.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 145.49 ₸ +5.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1624
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 296.83 ₸ +156.91 ₸ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1272
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 309.32 ₸ +169.39 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1353

souvenirSteam

×6

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

355.99 ₸

at 59.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 60.34 ₸ +1.01 ₸ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) — 74.91 ₸ +15.58 ₸ per item · on the market 1 702 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) — 88.24 ₸ +28.91 ₸ per item · on the market 2 875 · buy 0.0000–0.0025

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 915.69 ₸ +1 325.17 (+144.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

139.92 ₸

at 139.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 145.49 ₸ +5.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 296.83 ₸ +156.91 ₸ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1299
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 309.32 ₸ +169.39 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1382

souvenirSteam

×3

G3SG1 | Green Apple

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

131.09 ₸

at 43.70

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) — 49.83 ₸ +6.13 ₸ per item · on the market 1 723 · buy 0.1500–0.1857
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) — 59.33 ₸ +15.63 ₸ per item · on the market 2 866 · buy 0.0000–0.0302
Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 60.34 ₸ +16.65 ₸ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0503

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

355.99 ₸

at 59.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 60.34 ₸ +1.01 ₸ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) — 74.91 ₸ +15.58 ₸ per item · on the market 1 702 · buy 0.0000–0.0120
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) — 88.24 ₸ +28.91 ₸ per item · on the market 2 875 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 627.01 ₸ +339.29 (+54.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

279.85 ₸

at 139.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 145.49 ₸ +5.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 296.83 ₸ +156.91 ₸ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1289
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 309.32 ₸ +169.39 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1372

souvenirSteam

×2

G3SG1 | Green Apple

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

87.40 ₸

at 43.70

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) — 49.83 ₸ +6.13 ₸ per item · on the market 1 723 · buy 0.1500–0.1851
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) — 59.33 ₸ +15.63 ₸ per item · on the market 2 866 · buy 0.0000–0.0300
Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 60.34 ₸ +16.65 ₸ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0500

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

355.99 ₸

at 59.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 60.34 ₸ +1.01 ₸ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) — 74.91 ₸ +15.58 ₸ per item · on the market 1 702 · buy 0.0000–0.0111
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) — 88.24 ₸ +28.91 ₸ per item · on the market 2 875 · buy 0.0000–0.0029

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 723.24 ₸ +667.95 (+92.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

139.92 ₸

at 139.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 145.49 ₸ +5.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 296.83 ₸ +156.91 ₸ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1281
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 309.32 ₸ +169.39 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1363

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1 855.90 ₸

at 309.32

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 296.83 ₸ cheaper by 12.49 ₸ · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.0702
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear) — 365.56 ₸ +56.24 ₸ per item · on the market 236 · buy 0.0700–0.0896
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 374.83 ₸ +65.52 ₸ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0896

souvenirSteam

×3

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

178.00 ₸

at 59.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 60.34 ₸ +1.01 ₸ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) — 74.91 ₸ +15.58 ₸ per item · on the market 1 702 · buy 0.0000–0.0103
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) — 88.24 ₸ +28.91 ₸ per item · on the market 2 875 · buy 0.0000–0.0027

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 173.82 ₸ +1 341.59 (+61.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

419.77 ₸

at 139.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 145.49 ₸ +5.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 296.83 ₸ +156.91 ₸ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1281
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 309.32 ₸ +169.39 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1362

souvenirSteam

×1

G3SG1 | Green Apple

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

43.70 ₸

at 43.70

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) — 49.83 ₸ +6.13 ₸ per item · on the market 1 723 · buy 0.1500–0.1845
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) — 59.33 ₸ +15.63 ₸ per item · on the market 2 866 · buy 0.0000–0.0298
Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 60.34 ₸ +16.65 ₸ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0498

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

355.99 ₸

at 59.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 60.34 ₸ +1.01 ₸ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) — 74.91 ₸ +15.58 ₸ per item · on the market 1 702 · buy 0.0000–0.0103
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) — 88.24 ₸ +28.91 ₸ per item · on the market 2 875 · buy 0.0000–0.0027

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 819.46 ₸ +996.56 (+121.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.101818

328.83 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Meteorite

Factory New

float up to 0.022909

673.91 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Tuxedo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.101818

865.35 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

1 838.35 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 593.69 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

1 802.13 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 799.42 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +896.51 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 160.72 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Bank Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3369855 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 1 295.87₸ · invest 804.33₸
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162461 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3369854 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 1 271.04₸ · invest 804.33₸
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170391 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3370040 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 268.51₸ · invest 765.36₸
sells slowly

Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162099 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3368149 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 1 135.94₸ · invest 1 248.46₸
sells slowly

M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Motherboard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162755 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3369794 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 1 129.47₸ · invest 1 026.65₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Stained (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164432 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3369993 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 1 096.00₸ · invest 1 008.82₸
sells slowly

AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161777 instead of 0.162462

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection

How to build

What you get 7 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build