The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

28.09 ₴

at 14.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 14.60 ₴ +0.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1658
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 29.79 ₴ +15.75 ₴ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1299
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 31.04 ₴ +17.00 ₴ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1382

souvenirSteam

×8

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

47.64 ₴

at 5.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 6.06 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) — 7.52 ₴ +1.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 702 · buy 0.0000–0.0120
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) — 8.86 ₴ +2.90 ₴ per item · on the market 2 875 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.73 ₴ +89.42 (+118.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

119.17 ₴

at 29.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 31.04 ₴ +1.25 ₴ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0801
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear) — 36.69 ₴ +6.90 ₴ per item · on the market 236 · buy 0.0700–0.0961
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 37.62 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0961

souvenirSteam

×6

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

35.73 ₴

at 5.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 6.06 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) — 7.52 ₴ +1.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 702 · buy 0.0000–0.0116
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) — 8.86 ₴ +2.90 ₴ per item · on the market 2 875 · buy 0.0000–0.0031

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.89 ₴ +89.15 (+57.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

148.96 ₴

at 29.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 31.04 ₴ +1.25 ₴ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0799
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear) — 36.69 ₴ +6.90 ₴ per item · on the market 236 · buy 0.0700–0.0959
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 37.62 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0959

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

215.30 ₴

at 53.83

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Factory New) — 56.04 ₴ +2.21 ₴ per item · on the market 334 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) — 57.32 ₴ +3.49 ₴ per item · on the market 287 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New) — 57.48 ₴ +3.66 ₴ per item · on the market 465 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

5.95 ₴

at 5.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 6.06 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) — 7.52 ₴ +1.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 702 · buy 0.0000–0.0112
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) — 8.86 ₴ +2.90 ₴ per item · on the market 2 875 · buy 0.0000–0.0029

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 370.21 ₴ +71.07 (+19.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

155.22 ₴

at 31.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 29.79 ₴ cheaper by 1.25 ₴ · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.0704
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear) — 36.69 ₴ +5.64 ₴ per item · on the market 236 · buy 0.0700–0.0898
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 37.62 ₴ +6.58 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0898

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

107.65 ₴

at 53.83

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Factory New) — 56.04 ₴ +2.21 ₴ per item · on the market 334 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) — 57.32 ₴ +3.49 ₴ per item · on the market 287 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New) — 57.48 ₴ +3.66 ₴ per item · on the market 465 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

souvenirSteam

×3

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

17.86 ₴

at 5.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 6.06 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) — 7.52 ₴ +1.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 702 · buy 0.0000–0.0107
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) — 8.86 ₴ +2.90 ₴ per item · on the market 2 875 · buy 0.0000–0.0028

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 280.74 ₴ +81.66 (+29.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

124.18 ₴

at 31.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear) — 36.69 ₴ +5.64 ₴ per item · on the market 236 · buy 0.0700–0.0891
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 37.62 ₴ +6.58 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0891
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) — 53.83 ₴ +22.78 ₴ per item · on the market 542 · buy 0.0000–0.0698

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

36.69 ₴

at 36.69

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 37.62 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) — 53.83 ₴ +17.14 ₴ per item · on the market 542 · buy 0.0000–0.0582
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New) — 57.48 ₴ +20.79 ₴ per item · on the market 465 · buy 0.0000–0.0619

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

29.77 ₴

at 5.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) — 6.06 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 620 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) — 7.52 ₴ +1.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 702 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) — 8.86 ₴ +2.90 ₴ per item · on the market 2 875 · buy 0.0000–0.0025

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 190.64 ₴ +92.86 (+48.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81.16 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Meteorite

Factory New

float up to 0.015749

67.64 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Tuxedo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

148.79 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

184.51 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

360.68 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.042874

180.87 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

1 485.34 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +59.46 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +77.20 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Bank Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3370041 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 102.61₴ · invest 67.19₴
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162215 instead of 0.165874
Craft 3370042 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 97.28₴ · invest 66.38₴
sells slowly

Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163164 instead of 0.165874
Craft 3370070 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 89.34₴ · invest 80.41₴
sells slowly

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear), P250 | Constructivist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164511 instead of 0.165874
Craft 3370097 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 86.20₴ · invest 76.21₴
sells slowly

P90 | Ash Wood (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162838 instead of 0.165874
Craft 3369857 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 84.32₴ · invest 60.82₴
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166289 instead of 0.165874
Craft 3369992 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 82.16₴ · invest 79.51₴
sells slowly

M249 | Gator Mesh (Minimal Wear), AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163768 instead of 0.165874
Craft 3367390 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 82.09₴ · invest 96.57₴
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear), Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162304 instead of 0.165874
Craft 3370072 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 78.89₴ · invest 83.48₴
P90 | Straight Dimes (Minimal Wear), P250 | Constructivist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161914 instead of 0.165874
Craft 3370043 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 77.47₴ · invest 56.94₴
MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166159 instead of 0.165874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection

How to build

What you get 7 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build