The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4577

112.37 ₸

at 112.37

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Battle-Scarred) — 129.35 ₸ +16.98 ₸ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.4500–0.4577
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Well-Worn) — 136.49 ₸ +24.13 ₸ per item · on the market 329 · buy 0.3800–0.3814
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Field-Tested) — 146.39 ₸ +34.02 ₸ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.3585

souvenirSteam

×8

Tec-9 | Garter-9

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

112.93 ₸

at 14.12

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested) — 15.63 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 3 692 · buy 0.1500–0.1505
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Minimal Wear) — 23.45 ₸ +9.34 ₸ per item · on the market 3 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1341
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Field-Tested) — 27.56 ₸ +13.44 ₸ per item · on the market 3 127 · buy 0.1500–0.1850

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Leafhopper

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

26.43 ₸

at 26.43

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear) — 29.08 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 4 479 · buy 0.0700–0.0717
Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear) — 36.27 ₸ +9.84 ₸ per item · on the market 3 591 · buy 0.0700–0.0797
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Factory New) — 66.14 ₸ +39.70 ₸ per item · on the market 1 689 · buy 0.0000–0.0660

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 251.73 ₸ +7.82 (+3.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4604

112.37 ₸

at 112.37

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Battle-Scarred) — 129.35 ₸ +16.98 ₸ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.4500–0.4604
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Well-Worn) — 136.49 ₸ +24.13 ₸ per item · on the market 329 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Field-Tested) — 146.39 ₸ +34.02 ₸ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.3606

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

139.92 ₸

at 139.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 145.49 ₸ +5.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 296.83 ₸ +156.91 ₸ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1300
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 309.32 ₸ +169.39 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1383

souvenirSteam

×6

Tec-9 | Garter-9

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

84.70 ₸

at 14.12

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested) — 15.63 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 3 692 · buy 0.1500–0.1543
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Minimal Wear) — 23.45 ₸ +9.34 ₸ per item · on the market 3 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1375
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Field-Tested) — 27.56 ₸ +13.44 ₸ per item · on the market 3 127 · buy 0.1500–0.1896

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Acid Hex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

46.90 ₸

at 23.45

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear) — 26.43 ₸ +2.98 ₸ per item · on the market 4 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0848
P90 | Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear) — 29.08 ₸ +5.62 ₸ per item · on the market 4 479 · buy 0.0700–0.0820
P2000 | Marsh (Minimal Wear) — 29.24 ₸ +5.79 ₸ per item · on the market 3 745 · buy 0.0700–0.0781

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 383.89 ₸ +7.37 (+1.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1 119.39 ₸

at 139.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 145.49 ₸ +5.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 296.83 ₸ +156.91 ₸ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1281
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 309.32 ₸ +169.39 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1363

souvenirSteam

×2

Galil AR | Acid Dart

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

27.33 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Field-Tested) — 14.12 ₸ +0.45 ₸ per item · on the market 3 580 · buy 0.1500–0.1909
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested) — 15.63 ₸ +1.97 ₸ per item · on the market 3 692 · buy 0.1500–0.1775
P90 | Mustard Gas (Field-Tested) — 17.04 ₸ +3.37 ₸ per item · on the market 4 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1718

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 146.72 ₸ +34.76 (+3.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

979.46 ₸

at 139.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 145.49 ₸ +5.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 296.83 ₸ +156.91 ₸ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1281
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 309.32 ₸ +169.39 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1363

souvenirSteam

×3

Galil AR | Acid Dart

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

41.00 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Field-Tested) — 14.12 ₸ +0.45 ₸ per item · on the market 3 580 · buy 0.1500–0.1909
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested) — 15.63 ₸ +1.97 ₸ per item · on the market 3 692 · buy 0.1500–0.1775
P90 | Mustard Gas (Field-Tested) — 17.04 ₸ +3.37 ₸ per item · on the market 4 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1718

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 020.46 ₸ +29.30 (+2.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

839.54 ₸

at 139.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 145.49 ₸ +5.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 296.83 ₸ +156.91 ₸ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1281
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 309.32 ₸ +169.39 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1363

souvenirSteam

×4

Galil AR | Acid Dart

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

54.66 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Field-Tested) — 14.12 ₸ +0.45 ₸ per item · on the market 3 580 · buy 0.1500–0.1909
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested) — 15.63 ₸ +1.97 ₸ per item · on the market 3 692 · buy 0.1500–0.1775
P90 | Mustard Gas (Field-Tested) — 17.04 ₸ +3.37 ₸ per item · on the market 4 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1718

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 894.20 ₸ +23.85 (+2.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

AK-47 | Wintergreen

Field-Tested

float up to 0.204545

291.54 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.185454

40.77 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163636

43.59 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Tropical Breeze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

320.84 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Copperflage

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163636

38.30 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.136363

1 357.50 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 340.29 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133636

1 317.91 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 630.70 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −26.83 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2.76 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Boreal Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

How to build

What you get 9 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build