The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2236
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3910

souvenirSteam

×5

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

14.10 $

at 2.82

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 3.43 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 361 · buy 0.0000–0.0302
Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0226
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0378

Steam

×4

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

13.71 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0123

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.69 $ +10.98 (+25.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2232
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3904

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

19.88 $

at 19.88

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Minimal Wear) — 21.42 $ +1.54 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.1227
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 22.01 $ +2.13 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.1500–0.3055

souvenirSteam

×8

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

27.43 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.18 $ +15.50 (+24.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2225
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3893

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

44.02 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2.82 $

at 2.82

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 3.43 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 361 · buy 0.0000–0.0301
Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0225
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0376

Steam

×6

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

20.57 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0116

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.28 $ +19.41 (+23.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

84.42 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1012
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2098

Steam

×6

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

20.57 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 105.00 $ +21.71 (+20.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

42.21 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1009
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2094

Steam

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0517
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0699

souvenirSteam

×5

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

17.14 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0030
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 125.38 $ +25.33 (+20.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.026249

26.85 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

23.52 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

55.39 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.66 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.23 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Breakout Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build