The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2259
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3943

souvenirSteam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

5.64 $

at 2.82

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 3.43 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 361 · buy 0.0000–0.0304
Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0228
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0381

Steam

×7

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

24.00 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45.51 $ +19.81 (+43.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2250
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3930

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

22.01 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0724
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

souvenirSteam

×8

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

27.43 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0131

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 65.31 $ +22.84 (+35.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

63.32 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1022
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2113

Steam

×7

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

24.00 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0123

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.32 $ +23.66 (+27.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

21.11 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1017
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2106

Steam

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

souvenirSteam

×6

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

20.57 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0116

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107.71 $ +26.10 (+24.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0708
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0690

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2.82 $

at 2.82

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 3.43 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 361 · buy 0.0000–0.0300
Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0225
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0375

Steam

×4

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

13.71 $

at 3.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Koi (Factory New) — 3.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 3.62 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 7.09 $ +3.66 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 134.25 $ +22.39 (+16.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

26.85 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

64.39 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

55.39 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.47 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.75 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Breakout Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3377013 · The Breakout Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 21.24$ · invest 47.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −26 $ rare inputs

Souvenir USP-S | Road Rash (Battle-Scarred) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074547 instead of 0.076247; P250 | Supernova (Factory New): float at most 0.003979 instead of 0.005466

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build