The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1688

44.02 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0735
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0544

souvenirSteam

×5

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

8.93 $

at 1.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) — 2.28 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 2.80 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) — 3.36 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0000–0.0574

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

10.08 $

at 3.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) — 3.52 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) — 7.29 $ +3.93 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Factory New) — 10.59 $ +7.23 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.03 $ +3.65 (+5.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0733
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0543

souvenirSteam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

5.36 $

at 1.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) — 2.28 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 2.80 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) — 3.36 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0000–0.0573

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

13.44 $

at 3.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) — 3.52 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) — 7.29 $ +3.93 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Factory New) — 10.59 $ +7.23 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.83 $ +7.37 (+8.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0732
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0542

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

1.79 $

at 1.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) — 2.28 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 2.80 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) — 3.36 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0000–0.0573

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

16.81 $

at 3.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) — 3.52 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) — 7.29 $ +3.93 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Factory New) — 10.59 $ +7.23 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.63 $ +11.08 (+10.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0726
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0537

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 32.78 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0706
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1.79 $

at 1.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) — 2.28 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 2.80 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) — 3.36 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0000–0.0570

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

13.44 $

at 3.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) — 3.52 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) — 7.29 $ +3.93 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0000–0.0030
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Factory New) — 10.59 $ +7.23 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132.94 $ +10.28 (+7.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0720
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0533

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

59.35 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 32.78 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0701
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1.79 $

at 1.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) — 2.28 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 2.80 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) — 3.36 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0000–0.0568

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

10.08 $

at 3.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) — 3.52 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) — 7.29 $ +3.93 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0000–0.0029
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Factory New) — 10.59 $ +7.23 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.26 $ +9.47 (+6.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

AUG | Fleet Flock

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.31 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

13.73 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

float up to 0.053899

18.00 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

408.57 $ 10.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

214.22 $ 10.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11.43 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2.35 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Chroma 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build