The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2214
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3877

souvenirSteam

×9

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

9.52 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0240
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0288
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0249

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.39 $ +12.58 (+49.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

110.05 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0725
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

89.03 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 32.78 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0705
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

souvenirSteam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

2.12 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0267
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0321
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0278

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 201.19 $ +17.85 (+8.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

110.05 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0706
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0522

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

59.35 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0688

souvenirSteam

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

3.17 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0240
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0289
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0250

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 172.57 $ +20.61 (+11.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

42.21 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1011
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2097

Steam

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

22.01 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0702
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0520

souvenirSteam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

7.41 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0235
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0282
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71.63 $ +18.08 (+25.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0514
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0695

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

89.03 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0679

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

5.56 $

at 5.56

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +1.13 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
Negev | Loudmouth (Minimal Wear) — 14.00 $ +8.44 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1400–0.1440

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 226.64 $ +18.27 (+8.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

9.36 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

23.41 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

9.02 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.47 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.40 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build