The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

21.11 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1000
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2080

Steam

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

0.93 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 1.06 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.1500–0.2224
FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) — 1.82 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.0969
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 2.68 $ +1.75 $ per item · on the market 245 · buy 0.0700–0.0807

Steam

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

8.46 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0211
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0253
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0219

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.50 $ +15.43 (+50.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1678

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0728
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0539

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

89.03 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 32.78 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0708
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

souvenirSteam

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1678

4.23 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0273
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0327
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0284

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.29 $ +11.56 (+7.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0722
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

148.38 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 32.78 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0702
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0069

souvenirSteam

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

1.06 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0263
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0316
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0274

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 237.47 $ +8.32 (+3.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

59.35 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0693

souvenirSteam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

5.29 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0247
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0297
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0257

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 130.67 $ +15.19 (+11.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0703
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0520

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

89.03 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0685

souvenirSteam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

2.12 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0235
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0282
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0245

Steam

×1

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

5.56 $

at 5.56

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +1.13 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
Negev | Loudmouth (Minimal Wear) — 14.00 $ +8.44 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1400–0.1443

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184.74 $ +11.09 (+6.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.85 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

23.41 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27.02 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.11 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.72 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build