The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2194
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3847

souvenirSteam

×2

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.57 $

at 0.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 356 · buy 0.0700–0.0850
P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) — 1.01 $ +0.23 $ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.0700–0.1011
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) — 1.13 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.1064

Steam

×7

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

12.00 $

at 1.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 3.41 $ +1.69 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.44 $ +11.78 (+40.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

42.21 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1013
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2100

Steam

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

22.01 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0705
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0522

souvenirSteam

×1

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.79 $

at 0.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 356 · buy 0.0700–0.0856
P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) — 1.01 $ +0.23 $ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.0700–0.1018
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) — 1.13 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.1071

Steam

×6

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

10.28 $

at 1.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 3.41 $ +1.69 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.29 $ +16.94 (+22.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2201
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3858

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

21.11 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1009
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2094

Steam

×8

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

13.71 $

at 1.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 3.41 $ +1.69 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.69 $ +16.04 (+31.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0516
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0697

souvenirSteam

×1

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.79 $

at 0.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 356 · buy 0.0700–0.0851
P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) — 1.01 $ +0.23 $ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.0700–0.1013
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) — 1.13 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.1065

Steam

×5

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

8.57 $

at 1.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 3.41 $ +1.69 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.39 $ +20.35 (+20.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0514
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0694

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0677

souvenirSteam

×1

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.79 $

at 0.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 356 · buy 0.0700–0.0849
P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) — 1.01 $ +0.23 $ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.0700–0.1011
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) — 1.13 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.1063

Steam

×4

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

6.86 $

at 1.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) — 1.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 489 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
Galil AR | Control (Factory New) — 2.86 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 279 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) — 3.41 $ +1.69 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 125.35 $ +17.89 (+14.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18.57 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20.77 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.85 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.43 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.36 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build