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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −151.90₸

Invest at least 414.15₸

Average return 262.24₸

ROI −36.7%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 414.15 ₸, profit at most −151.90 ₸

float premium: at least 204 ₸

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +179.80 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

40.49 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1560
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1248
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1362

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

13.67 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) — 16.53 ₸ +2.87 ₸ per item · on the market 8 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0477
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New) — 16.76 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 7 386 · buy 0.0000–0.0520
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) — 16.87 ₸ +3.21 ₸ per item · on the market 4 469 · buy 0.0000–0.0520

Steam

×7

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

115.74 ₸

at 16.53

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New) — 16.76 ₸ +0.22 ₸ per item · on the market 7 386 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) — 16.87 ₸ +0.34 ₸ per item · on the market 4 469 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
SG 553 | Safari Print (Factory New) — 18.33 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 961 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 169.90 ₸ +92.34 (+54.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1730

20.25 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1586
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1268
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1384

souvenirSteam

×4

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

54.66 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) — 16.53 ₸ +2.87 ₸ per item · on the market 8 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0478
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New) — 16.76 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 7 386 · buy 0.0000–0.0521
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) — 16.87 ₸ +3.21 ₸ per item · on the market 4 469 · buy 0.0000–0.0521

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

82.67 ₸

at 16.53

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New) — 16.76 ₸ +0.22 ₸ per item · on the market 7 386 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) — 16.87 ₸ +0.34 ₸ per item · on the market 4 469 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
SG 553 | Safari Print (Factory New) — 18.33 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 961 · buy 0.0000–0.0089

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 157.58 ₸ +51.57 (+32.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

MP5-SD | Picnic

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

99.37 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

119.28 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

517.51 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

80.70 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

80.65 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

593.16 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

665.25 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

1 362.90 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.032899

538.83 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +45.78 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +72.66 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build