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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −245.03₸

Invest at least 479.89₸

Average return 234.86₸

ROI −51.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 479.89 ₸, profit at most −245.03 ₸

float premium: at least 243 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +62.59 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈9, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

161.97 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1543
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1234
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1347

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

27.33 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 27 757 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
FAMAS | Byproduct (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 41 452 · buy 0.070000–0.070033
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 15 711 · buy 0.0700–0.1145

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 189.30 ₸ +45.55 (+24.1%)

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈144, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1932

121.48 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1771
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 366 · buy 0.1500–0.1546
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) — 22.50 ₸ +2.25 ₸ per item · on the market 3 997 · buy 0.1500–0.1610

souvenirSteam

×4

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0850

54.66 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 27 757 · buy 0.0700–0.0850
FAMAS | Byproduct (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 41 452 · buy 0.0700–0.0779
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 15 711 · buy 0.0700–0.1275

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.14 ₸ +5.79 (+3.3%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈56, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1798

141.72 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1318
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1438

souvenirSteam

×3

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

41.00 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 27 757 · buy 0.0700–0.0803
FAMAS | Byproduct (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 41 452 · buy 0.0700–0.0736
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 15 711 · buy 0.0700–0.1205

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 182.72 ₸ +25.70 (+14.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

182.22 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1522
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1217
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1328

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

16.53 ₸

at 16.53

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New) — 16.76 ₸ +0.22 ₸ per item · on the market 7 386 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) — 16.87 ₸ +0.34 ₸ per item · on the market 4 469 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
SG 553 | Safari Print (Factory New) — 18.33 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 961 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 198.75 ₸ +62.59 (+31.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

335.07 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

366.40 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

364.37 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117499

258.14 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

18.17 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162499

18.67 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

22.72 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

39.03 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

34.08 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −12.82 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.41 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build