The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4579

0.50 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Battle-Scarred) — 0.29 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.4500–0.4579
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Well-Worn) — 0.30 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 329 · buy 0.3800–0.3816
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.3587

souvenirSteam

×4

Dual Berettas | Stained

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

0.35 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 516 · buy 0.1500–0.1799
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1799
XM1014 | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 936 · buy 0.0700–0.0972

Steam

×4

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

0.36 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1621
XM1014 | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 936 · buy 0.0700–0.0828
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) — 0.13 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 3 384 · buy 0.1500–0.1621

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.21 $ +0.00 (+0.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4676

0.25 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Battle-Scarred) — 0.29 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.4500–0.4676
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Well-Worn) — 0.30 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 329 · buy 0.3800–0.3897
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.3663

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1770

0.93 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1770
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1387
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1475

souvenirSteam

×6

Dual Berettas | Stained

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1770

0.53 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 516 · buy 0.1500–0.1910
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1910
XM1014 | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 936 · buy 0.0700–0.1062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.71 $ +0.00 (+0.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

2.78 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1704
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1335
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1420

souvenirSteam

×1

Dual Berettas | Stained

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 516 · buy 0.1500–0.1861
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1861
XM1014 | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 936 · buy 0.0700–0.1022

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.87 $ +0.07 (+2.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4616

0.25 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Battle-Scarred) — 0.29 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.4500–0.4616
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Well-Worn) — 0.30 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 329 · buy 0.3800–0.3846
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.3616

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1678

1.24 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1678
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1314
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1398

souvenirSteam

×5

Dual Berettas | Stained

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1678

0.44 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 516 · buy 0.1500–0.1841
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1841
XM1014 | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 936 · buy 0.0700–0.1006

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.93 $ +0.03 (+1.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

2.47 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1634
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1280
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1362

souvenirSteam

×1

Dual Berettas | Stained

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3841

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | CaliCamo (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 885 · buy 0.1500–0.2304
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 516 · buy 0.1500–0.3442
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.3442

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Stained

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 516 · buy 0.1500–0.1809
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 169 · buy 0.1500–0.1809
XM1014 | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 936 · buy 0.0700–0.0980

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.65 $ +0.05 (+1.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

in profit

Glock-18 | Candy Apple

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081818

1.50 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.021818

0.86 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163636

0.13 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.136363

3.00 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.96 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133636

2.91 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.81 $ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.15 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build

What you get 7 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build