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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −197.40₸

Invest at least 545.69₸

Average return 348.29₸

ROI −36.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 545.69 ₸, profit at most −197.40 ₸

float premium: at least 276 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +170.97 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

84.36 ₸

at 28.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.23 ₸ +0.11 ₸ per item · on the market 1 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0771
Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) — 34.19 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 449 · buy 0.0700–0.0925
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Minimal Wear) — 39.37 ₸ +11.25 ₸ per item · on the market 1 354 · buy 0.0700–0.0848

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

34.19 ₸

at 34.19

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) — 67.49 ₸ +33.29 ₸ per item · on the market 3 248 · buy 0.0000–0.0592
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +34.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0678
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +35.09 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0617

souvenirSteam

×6

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

112.03 ₸

at 18.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — 19.52 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 25.98 ₸ +7.31 ₸ per item · on the market 1 664 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 29.86 ₸ +11.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 662 · buy 0.0700–0.0740

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 230.58 ₸ +117.71 (+51.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

170.97 ₸

at 34.19

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) — 67.49 ₸ +33.29 ₸ per item · on the market 3 248 · buy 0.0000–0.0608
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +34.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0697
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +35.09 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0633

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

269.95 ₸

at 67.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

souvenirSteam

×1

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

18.67 ₸

at 18.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — 19.52 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 25.98 ₸ +7.31 ₸ per item · on the market 1 664 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 29.86 ₸ +11.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 662 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 459.59 ₸ +170.97 (+37.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

170.97 ₸

at 34.19

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) — 67.49 ₸ +33.29 ₸ per item · on the market 3 248 · buy 0.0000–0.0603
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +34.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0691
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +35.09 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0628

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

202.46 ₸

at 67.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

souvenirSteam

×2

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

37.34 ₸

at 18.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — 19.52 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 25.98 ₸ +7.31 ₸ per item · on the market 1 664 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 29.86 ₸ +11.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 662 · buy 0.0700–0.0754

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 410.77 ₸ +163.32 (+39.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

20.25 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1509
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1207
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1317

souvenirSteam

×2

XM1014 | Blue Spruce

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

27.33 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 15.18 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 3 152 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Field-Tested) — 16.03 ₸ +2.36 ₸ per item · on the market 2 862 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) — 18.22 ₸ +4.56 ₸ per item · on the market 2 725 · buy 0.1500–0.1646

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

130.70 ₸

at 18.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — 19.52 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 25.98 ₸ +7.31 ₸ per item · on the market 1 664 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 29.86 ₸ +11.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 662 · buy 0.0700–0.0750

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178.28 ₸ +0.67 (+0.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

170.97 ₸

at 34.19

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) — 67.49 ₸ +33.29 ₸ per item · on the market 3 248 · buy 0.0000–0.0597
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +34.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0685
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +35.09 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0622

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

134.97 ₸

at 67.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0038

souvenirSteam

×3

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

56.01 ₸

at 18.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — 19.52 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 25.98 ₸ +7.31 ₸ per item · on the market 1 664 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 29.86 ₸ +11.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 662 · buy 0.0700–0.0747

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 361.96 ₸ +155.67 (+43.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

at a loss

AWP | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

150.95 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

104.16 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mudder

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

94.26 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

66.36 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

288.79 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

593.16 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

665.25 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

1 362.90 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.032899

538.83 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 only The Lake Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +45.39 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +85.48 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build