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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −238.45₸

Invest at least 498.84₸

Average return 260.39₸

ROI −47.8%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 498.84 ₸, profit at most −238.45 ₸

float premium: at least 252 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +97.97 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

60.74 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1194
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1302
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.23 ₸ +7.99 ₸ per item · on the market 1 219 · buy 0.0700–0.1356

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

81.83 ₸

at 27.28

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.0812
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.23 ₸ +0.96 ₸ per item · on the market 1 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0846
Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) — 34.19 ₸ +6.92 ₸ per item · on the market 1 449 · buy 0.0700–0.1015

souvenirSteam

×4

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

74.69 ₸

at 18.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — 19.52 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 25.98 ₸ +7.31 ₸ per item · on the market 1 664 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 29.86 ₸ +11.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 662 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 217.25 ₸ +43.14 (+19.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈10, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

80.98 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1561
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1249
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1362

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Blue Spruce

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

13.67 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 15.18 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 3 152 · buy 0.1500–0.1703
SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Field-Tested) — 16.03 ₸ +2.36 ₸ per item · on the market 2 862 · buy 0.1500–0.1703
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) — 18.22 ₸ +4.56 ₸ per item · on the market 2 725 · buy 0.1500–0.1703

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

93.36 ₸

at 18.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — 19.52 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 25.98 ₸ +7.31 ₸ per item · on the market 1 664 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 29.86 ₸ +11.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 662 · buy 0.0700–0.0770

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 188.01 ₸ +0.11 (+0.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈8, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

80.98 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1537
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1229
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1341

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

27.28 ₸

at 27.28

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.0830
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.23 ₸ +0.96 ₸ per item · on the market 1 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0865
Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) — 34.19 ₸ +6.92 ₸ per item · on the market 1 449 · buy 0.0700–0.1038

souvenirSteam

×5

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

93.36 ₸

at 18.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — 19.52 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 25.98 ₸ +7.31 ₸ per item · on the market 1 664 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 29.86 ₸ +11.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 662 · buy 0.0700–0.0761

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 201.62 ₸ +22.61 (+11.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

40.49 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 21.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1517
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1214
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

140.60 ₸

at 28.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.23 ₸ +0.11 ₸ per item · on the market 1 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0785
Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) — 34.19 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 449 · buy 0.0700–0.0942
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Minimal Wear) — 39.37 ₸ +11.25 ₸ per item · on the market 1 354 · buy 0.0700–0.0864

souvenirSteam

×3

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

56.01 ₸

at 18.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — 19.52 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 25.98 ₸ +7.31 ₸ per item · on the market 1 664 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 29.86 ₸ +11.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 662 · buy 0.0700–0.0754

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 237.10 ₸ +59.44 (+25.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

20.25 ₸

at 20.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.28 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1197
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.87 ₸ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1306
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.23 ₸ +7.99 ₸ per item · on the market 1 219 · buy 0.0700–0.1360

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

196.84 ₸

at 28.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.23 ₸ +0.11 ₸ per item · on the market 1 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0777
Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) — 34.19 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 449 · buy 0.0700–0.0932
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Minimal Wear) — 39.37 ₸ +11.25 ₸ per item · on the market 1 354 · buy 0.0700–0.0855

souvenirSteam

×2

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

37.34 ₸

at 18.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — 19.52 ₸ +0.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 080 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 25.98 ₸ +7.31 ₸ per item · on the market 1 664 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 29.86 ₸ +11.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 662 · buy 0.0700–0.0746

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 254.43 ₸ +78.23 (+30.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

593.16 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

366.40 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

364.37 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.065799

538.83 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Safari Mesh

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

77.05 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

28.79 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mudder

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

44.32 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

25.98 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

74.29 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 only The Lake Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −9.84 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.50 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build