The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

56.17 ₴

at 14.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 14.60 ₴ +0.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1624
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 29.79 ₴ +15.75 ₴ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1272
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 31.04 ₴ +17.00 ₴ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1353

souvenirSteam

×6

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2097

24.55 ₴

at 4.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 5.77 ₴ +1.68 ₴ per item · on the market 1 613 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 6.00 ₴ +1.91 ₴ per item · on the market 2 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 17.50 ₴ +13.41 ₴ per item · on the market 2 322 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.73 ₴ +130.06 (+161.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1709

42.13 ₴

at 14.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 14.60 ₴ +0.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1709
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 29.79 ₴ +15.75 ₴ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1339
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 31.04 ₴ +17.00 ₴ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1424

souvenirSteam

×1

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1709

1.94 ₴

at 1.94

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear) — 2.74 ₴ +0.80 ₴ per item · on the market 1 331 · buy 0.0700–0.0854
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) — 2.81 ₴ +0.87 ₴ per item · on the market 2 586 · buy 0.0700–0.0854
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) — 4.09 ₴ +2.16 ₴ per item · on the market 6 504 · buy 0.2000–0.3196

Steam

×6

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2164

24.55 ₴

at 4.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 5.77 ₴ +1.68 ₴ per item · on the market 1 613 · buy 0.0000–0.0117
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 6.00 ₴ +1.91 ₴ per item · on the market 2 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0117
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 17.50 ₴ +13.41 ₴ per item · on the market 2 322 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.62 ₴ +97.17 (+141.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

28.09 ₴

at 14.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 14.60 ₴ +0.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1681
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 29.79 ₴ +15.75 ₴ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1317
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 31.04 ₴ +17.00 ₴ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1401

souvenirSteam

×3

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

5.81 ₴

at 1.94

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear) — 2.74 ₴ +0.80 ₴ per item · on the market 1 331 · buy 0.0700–0.0840
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) — 2.81 ₴ +0.87 ₴ per item · on the market 2 586 · buy 0.0700–0.0840
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) — 4.09 ₴ +2.16 ₴ per item · on the market 6 504 · buy 0.2000–0.3177

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2142

20.46 ₴

at 4.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 5.77 ₴ +1.68 ₴ per item · on the market 1 613 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 6.00 ₴ +1.91 ₴ per item · on the market 2 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 17.50 ₴ +13.41 ₴ per item · on the market 2 322 · buy 0.0000–0.0117

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.36 ₴ +66.45 (+122.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

14.04 ₴

at 14.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 14.60 ₴ +0.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 29.79 ₴ +15.75 ₴ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1311
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 31.04 ₴ +17.00 ₴ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1395

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

148.96 ₴

at 29.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 31.04 ₴ +1.25 ₴ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear) — 36.69 ₴ +6.90 ₴ per item · on the market 236 · buy 0.0700–0.0971
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 37.62 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0971

souvenirSteam

×4

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2136

16.37 ₴

at 4.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 5.77 ₴ +1.68 ₴ per item · on the market 1 613 · buy 0.0000–0.0097
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 6.00 ₴ +1.91 ₴ per item · on the market 2 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0097
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 17.50 ₴ +13.41 ₴ per item · on the market 2 322 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.37 ₴ +121.40 (+67.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

208.54 ₴

at 29.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 31.04 ₴ +1.25 ₴ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0805
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear) — 36.69 ₴ +6.90 ₴ per item · on the market 236 · buy 0.0700–0.0966
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 37.62 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0966

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

107.65 ₴

at 53.83

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Factory New) — 56.04 ₴ +2.21 ₴ per item · on the market 334 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) — 57.32 ₴ +3.49 ₴ per item · on the market 287 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New) — 57.48 ₴ +3.66 ₴ per item · on the market 465 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2127

4.09 ₴

at 4.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 5.77 ₴ +1.68 ₴ per item · on the market 1 613 · buy 0.0000–0.0091
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 6.00 ₴ +1.91 ₴ per item · on the market 2 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0091
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 17.50 ₴ +13.41 ₴ per item · on the market 2 322 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 320.28 ₴ +115.46 (+36.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36.87 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

25.74 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

47.55 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

31.60 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

184.51 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

360.68 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.057166

180.87 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

1 485.34 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +89.56 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +114.31 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3369500 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 133.00₴ · invest 91.90₴
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162462 instead of 0.162461
Craft 3369854 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 127.57₴ · invest 80.73₴
sells slowly

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170391 instead of 0.162461; MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.215958 instead of 0.209752
Craft 3370040 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 127.31₴ · invest 76.82₴
sells slowly

Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162099 instead of 0.162461
Craft 3368149 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 114.01₴ · invest 125.30₴
sells slowly

M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Motherboard (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162755 instead of 0.162461
Craft 3369794 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 113.36₴ · invest 103.04₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Stained (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164432 instead of 0.162461
Craft 3369993 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 110.00₴ · invest 101.25₴
sells slowly

AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161777 instead of 0.162461

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build

What you get 8 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build