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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3.00$

Invest at least 5.03$

Average return 2.03$

ROI −59.6%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 5.03 $, profit at most −3.00 $

float premium: at least 3 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.05 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

1.85 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1627
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1275
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1356

souvenirSteam

×1

Negev | Wall Bang

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3838

0.04 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 5 318 · buy 0.1500–0.1919
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 6 714 · buy 0.1500–0.1919
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.05 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 406 · buy 0.4500–0.4687

Steam

×3

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

0.13 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 331 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 2 586 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 6 504 · buy 0.2000–0.3139

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.02 $ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

2.16 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1704
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1335
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1420

souvenirSteam

×3

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

0.13 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 331 · buy 0.0700–0.0852
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 2 586 · buy 0.0700–0.0852
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 6 504 · buy 0.2000–0.3193

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.29 $ +0.03 (+1.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

2.78 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1296
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1379

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2121

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 1 613 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 2 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 0.39 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 2 322 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.87 $ +0.03 (+1.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

2.47 $

at 0.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 166 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1277
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

souvenirSteam

×2

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

0.09 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 331 · buy 0.0700–0.0815
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 2 586 · buy 0.0700–0.0815
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 6 504 · buy 0.2000–0.3141

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.56 $ +0.05 (+2.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

3.00 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137499

2.96 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

2.91 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137499

5.81 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.39 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

0.33 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Field-Tested

float up to 0.224999

0.29 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

0.32 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.27 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.09 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build