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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −461.56₸

Invest at least 1 072.03₸

Average return 610.48₸

ROI −43.1%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 072.03 ₸, profit at most −461.56 ₸

float premium: at least 554 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +461.72 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

168.72 ₸

at 28.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.23 ₸ +0.11 ₸ per item · on the market 1 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0771
Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) — 34.19 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 449 · buy 0.0700–0.0926
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Minimal Wear) — 39.37 ₸ +11.25 ₸ per item · on the market 1 354 · buy 0.0700–0.0849

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

134.97 ₸

at 67.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

158.48 ₸

at 79.24

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Storm (Field-Tested) — 79.30 ₸ +0.06 ₸ per item · on the market 875 · buy 0.1500–0.1617
Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) — 83.91 ₸ +4.67 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1617
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) — 84.42 ₸ +5.17 ₸ per item · on the market 676 · buy 0.1500–0.1617

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 462.17 ₸ +148.30 (+32.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

134.97 ₸

at 67.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

633.93 ₸

at 79.24

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Storm (Field-Tested) — 79.30 ₸ +0.06 ₸ per item · on the market 875 · buy 0.1500–0.1701
Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) — 83.91 ₸ +4.67 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1701
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) — 84.42 ₸ +5.17 ₸ per item · on the market 676 · buy 0.1500–0.1701

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 768.90 ₸ +458.07 (+59.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

67.49 ₸

at 67.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

633.93 ₸

at 79.24

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Storm (Field-Tested) — 79.30 ₸ +0.06 ₸ per item · on the market 875 · buy 0.1500–0.1692
Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) — 83.91 ₸ +4.67 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1692
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) — 84.42 ₸ +5.17 ₸ per item · on the market 676 · buy 0.1500–0.1692

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

166.58 ₸

at 166.58

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 169.62 ₸ +3.04 ₸ per item · on the market 227 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) — 174.90 ₸ +8.32 ₸ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
Souvenir MAG-7 | Storm (Minimal Wear) — 350.65 ₸ +184.07 ₸ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0700–0.0767

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 868.00 ₸ +461.72 (+53.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

205.16 ₸

at 34.19

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Minimal Wear) — 39.37 ₸ +5.17 ₸ per item · on the market 1 354 · buy 0.070000–0.070075
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) — 67.49 ₸ +33.29 ₸ per item · on the market 3 248 · buy 0.0000–0.0611
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +35.09 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0637

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

67.49 ₸

at 67.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

237.72 ₸

at 79.24

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Storm (Field-Tested) — 79.30 ₸ +0.06 ₸ per item · on the market 875 · buy 0.1500–0.1685
Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) — 83.91 ₸ +4.67 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1685
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) — 84.42 ₸ +5.17 ₸ per item · on the market 676 · buy 0.1500–0.1685

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 510.37 ₸ +202.85 (+39.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

170.97 ₸

at 34.19

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) — 67.49 ₸ +33.29 ₸ per item · on the market 3 248 · buy 0.0000–0.0605
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +34.19 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0693
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +35.09 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0630

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

67.49 ₸

at 67.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) — 68.39 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 963 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 574 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) — 69.29 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 2 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

316.96 ₸

at 79.24

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Storm (Field-Tested) — 79.30 ₸ +0.06 ₸ per item · on the market 875 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) — 83.91 ₸ +4.67 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) — 84.42 ₸ +5.17 ₸ per item · on the market 676 · buy 0.1500–0.1663

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 555.42 ₸ +260.56 (+46.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 20%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

593.16 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

366.40 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

364.37 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.057162

538.83 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 520.03 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 494.15 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 298.23 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 276.91 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 only The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17.38 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +100.16 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build