The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1730

22.01 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0565

souvenirSteam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

12.74 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 3.34 $ +0.79 $ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.0702
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.38 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0483
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 5.72 $ +3.17 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0700–0.0702

Steam

×4

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

21.51 $

at 5.38

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.37 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0113
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +20.97 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.26 $ +22.69 (+40.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0514
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0695

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

89.03 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0678

souvenirSteam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.01 $

at 2.01

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 2.55 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.0700–0.1201
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 3.34 $ +1.32 $ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.1081
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 5.72 $ +3.71 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0700–0.1081

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

16.13 $

at 5.38

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.37 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +20.97 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.20 $ +12.32 (+7.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0512
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0692

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

118.70 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0675

souvenirSteam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2.01 $

at 2.01

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 2.55 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.0700–0.1198
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 3.34 $ +1.32 $ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.1078
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 5.72 $ +3.71 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0700–0.1078

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

10.76 $

at 5.38

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.37 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +20.97 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 197.50 $ +9.34 (+4.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0510
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0690

souvenirSteam

×6

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

32.27 $

at 5.38

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.37 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +20.97 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120.30 $ +22.59 (+18.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0509
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0689

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

148.38 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0672

souvenirSteam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2.01 $

at 2.01

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 2.55 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.0700–0.1196
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 3.34 $ +1.32 $ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.1076
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 5.72 $ +3.71 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0700–0.1076

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

5.38 $

at 5.38

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.37 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +20.97 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.80 $ +6.35 (+2.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

135.82 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

32.38 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

30.64 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.047058

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.032352

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.76 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build