The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2196
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3851

souvenirSteam

×3

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3.35 $

at 1.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) — 2.05 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 633 · buy 0.0700–0.0723
Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) — 2.27 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0484
P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New) — 3.98 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0633

Steam

×6

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

13.63 $

at 2.27

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New) — 3.67 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New) — 3.98 $ +1.70 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) — 6.33 $ +4.06 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.85 $ +7.63 (+23.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0704
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0521

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

89.03 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0686

souvenirSteam

×1

P250 | Cyber Shell

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1.01 $

at 1.01

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) — 1.12 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0881
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) — 2.05 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 633 · buy 0.0700–0.0855
Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) — 2.27 $ +1.26 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0573

Steam

×2

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

4.54 $

at 2.27

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New) — 3.67 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New) — 3.98 $ +1.70 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) — 6.33 $ +4.06 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 182.62 $ +11.39 (+6.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.070000–0.070068
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0518

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

118.70 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0683

souvenirSteam

×1

P250 | Cyber Shell

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.01 $

at 1.01

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) — 1.12 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0879
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) — 2.05 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 633 · buy 0.0700–0.0853
Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) — 2.27 $ +1.26 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0571

Steam

×1

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

2.27 $

at 2.27

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New) — 3.67 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New) — 3.98 $ +1.70 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) — 6.33 $ +4.06 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 210.02 $ +9.58 (+4.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0516
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0697

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

148.38 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0680

souvenirSteam

×1

P250 | Cyber Shell

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1.01 $

at 1.01

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) — 1.12 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0877
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) — 2.05 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 633 · buy 0.0700–0.0851
Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) — 2.27 $ +1.26 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0570

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 237.43 $ +7.76 (+3.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0513
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0694

souvenirSteam

×1

Negev | dev_texture

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.86 $

at 0.86

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) — 1.01 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0973
MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) — 1.12 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1145
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) — 2.05 $ +1.19 $ per item · on the market 633 · buy 0.0700–0.1110

Steam

×5

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

11.36 $

at 2.27

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New) — 3.67 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New) — 3.98 $ +1.70 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) — 6.33 $ +4.06 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.26 $ +16.99 (+16.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20.53 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Food Chain

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17.39 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

13.48 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.15 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.15 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build