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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 345.59₴

Invest at least 3 387.50₴

Average return 2 041.91₴

ROI −39.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 3 387.50 ₴, profit at most −1 345.59 ₴

float premium: at least 1 849 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 365.58 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

721.16 ₴

at 721.16

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 903.11 ₴ +181.95 ₴ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2229
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 964.61 ₴ +243.44 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3899

souvenirSteam

×3

MP9 | Goo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

181.88 ₴

at 60.63

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) — 60.86 ₴ +0.24 ₴ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0700–0.0905
SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear) — 61.44 ₴ +0.81 ₴ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Minimal Wear) — 80.91 ₴ +20.28 ₴ per item · on the market 217 · buy 0.0700–0.0880

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

565.23 ₴

at 94.21

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 129.82 ₴ +35.62 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 132.73 ₴ +38.52 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 144.36 ₴ +50.16 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 468.28 ₴ +573.63 (+39.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

721.16 ₴

at 721.16

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 903.11 ₴ +181.95 ₴ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2270
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 964.61 ₴ +243.44 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3960

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1688

903.11 ₴

at 903.11

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Minimal Wear) — 973.10 ₴ +69.99 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.1249
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 1 000.00 ₴ +96.89 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.1500–0.3098

souvenirSteam

×8

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

753.65 ₴

at 94.21

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 129.82 ₴ +35.62 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 132.73 ₴ +38.52 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 144.36 ₴ +50.16 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 377.92 ₴ +804.10 (+33.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

3 835.87 ₴

at 958.97

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 1 081.04 ₴ +122.08 ₴ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1024
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 1 170.28 ₴ +211.32 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2116

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

565.23 ₴

at 94.21

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 129.82 ₴ +35.62 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 132.73 ₴ +38.52 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 144.36 ₴ +50.16 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 401.10 ₴ +1 061.11 (+24.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1 917.93 ₴

at 958.97

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 1 081.04 ₴ +122.08 ₴ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1017
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 1 170.28 ₴ +211.32 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2105

Steam

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

3 000.01 ₴

at 1 000.00

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 1 053.07 ₴ +53.07 ₴ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0710
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 1 348.31 ₴ +348.31 ₴ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0525

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

471.03 ₴

at 94.21

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 129.82 ₴ +35.62 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 132.73 ₴ +38.52 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 144.36 ₴ +50.16 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 388.97 ₴ +1 213.34 (+22.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

6 000.01 ₴

at 1 000.00

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 1 053.07 ₴ +53.07 ₴ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0703
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 1 348.31 ₴ +348.31 ₴ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0520

souvenirSteam

×4

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

376.82 ₴

at 94.21

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 129.82 ₴ +35.62 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 132.73 ₴ +38.52 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 144.36 ₴ +50.16 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 376.84 ₴ +1 365.58 (+21.4%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

670.20 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

1 780.95 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088624

660.09 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 563.30 ₴ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

9 733.17 ₴ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +164.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +393.32 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build