The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2190
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3842

souvenirSteam

×2

UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

2.83 $

at 1.42

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Seasons (Minimal Wear) — 1.97 $ +0.55 $ per item · on the market 177 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 2.00 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0700–0.0732
MAC-10 | Last Dive (Minimal Wear) — 2.13 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0845

Steam

×7

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

18.60 $

at 2.66

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 2.69 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 3.04 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) — 5.51 $ +2.85 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.30 $ +11.61 (+31.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2252
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3933

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

44.02 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0726
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0537

souvenirSteam

×7

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

18.60 $

at 2.66

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 2.69 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 3.04 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) — 5.51 $ +2.85 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.49 $ +19.73 (+25.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

63.32 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1022
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2113

Steam

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

22.01 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0718
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0531

souvenirSteam

×6

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

15.94 $

at 2.66

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 2.69 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 3.04 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) — 5.51 $ +2.85 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0110

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.27 $ +21.60 (+21.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

21.11 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1017
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2105

Steam

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0710
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

souvenirSteam

×5

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

13.28 $

at 2.66

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 2.69 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 3.04 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) — 5.51 $ +2.85 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 122.43 $ +25.09 (+20.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

110.05 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0706
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0523

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0688

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Scaffold

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

2.42 $

at 2.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2.66 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 149 · buy 0.0000–0.0337
XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 2.69 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0000–0.0375
MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 3.04 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.0000–0.0390

Steam

×3

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

7.97 $

at 2.66

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 2.69 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 252 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 3.04 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) — 5.51 $ +2.85 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 150.11 $ +22.06 (+14.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

AWP | Fever Dream

Factory New

float up to 0.045294

20.13 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

float up to 0.046117

18.96 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Decimator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44.62 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.065882

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.045294

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.88 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build