The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1725

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2332
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.4051

souvenirSteam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

8.41 $

at 2.80

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 3.48 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 473 · buy 0.0700–0.1150
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.95 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0690

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

26.09 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.37 $ +10.03 (+19.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2267
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3955

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

22.01 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0733
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0542

souvenirSteam

×2

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

5.61 $

at 2.80

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 3.48 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 473 · buy 0.0700–0.1124
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.95 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0674

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

26.09 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0083

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69.58 $ +14.20 (+20.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

42.21 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1021
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2112

Steam

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0717
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0530

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

21.74 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 129.98 $ +23.92 (+18.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0707
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0523

souvenirSteam

×4

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

17.39 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 149.45 $ +27.83 (+18.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0703
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0520

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0686

souvenirSteam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

13.04 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 174.78 $ +25.88 (+14.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon

Factory New

float up to 0.048511

29.91 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | AXIA

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

55.26 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.62 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.58 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build

What you get 4 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build