The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

3.71 $

at 3.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 3.77 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 8.58 $ +4.87 $ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

souvenirSteam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

5.30 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1047
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0901
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1047

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.01 $ +2.65 (+29.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

2.90 $

at 2.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear) — 3.00 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) — 3.16 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0837
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 4.34 $ +1.43 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0837

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

7.42 $

at 3.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 3.77 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 8.58 $ +4.87 $ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

0.24 $

at 0.24

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 1 047 · buy 0.1500–0.1897
Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 0.40 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 1 964 · buy 0.1500–0.1897
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 0.59 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.1416

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3.53 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.0999
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0859
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.0999

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.09 $ +1.33 (+9.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.90 $

at 2.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear) — 3.00 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) — 3.16 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0835
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 4.34 $ +1.43 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0835

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

3.71 $

at 3.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 3.77 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 8.58 $ +4.87 $ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

souvenirSteam

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

4.71 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.0997
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0857
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.0997

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.32 $ +2.22 (+19.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2.90 $

at 2.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear) — 3.00 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) — 3.16 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0832
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 4.34 $ +1.43 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0832

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

11.13 $

at 3.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.76 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0035
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 3.77 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 8.58 $ +4.87 $ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0040

souvenirSteam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

0.86 $

at 0.29

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 0.40 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 1 964 · buy 0.1500–0.1620
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 0.59 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.1209
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.1393

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.77 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.0993
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0854
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.0993

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.66 $ +0.65 (+3.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

9.90 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

6.98 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16.85 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.047872

32.21 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.130850

35.34 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.035425

31.10 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.10 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3400947 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 2.39$ · invest 8.04$
rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077975 instead of 0.078228

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build