The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

168.52 ₴

at 168.52

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 170.89 ₴ +2.37 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 171.51 ₴ +2.99 ₴ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 389.87 ₴ +221.35 ₴ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

souvenirSteam

×9

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

526.59 ₴

at 58.51

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) — 60.27 ₴ +1.76 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) — 63.78 ₴ +5.27 ₴ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 68.46 ₴ +9.95 ₴ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 695.11 ₴ +121.33 (+17.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −205 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

131.92 ₴

at 131.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear) — 136.40 ₴ +4.48 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) — 143.72 ₴ +11.80 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0845
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 196.99 ₴ +65.07 ₴ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0845

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

337.04 ₴

at 168.52

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 170.89 ₴ +2.37 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 171.51 ₴ +2.99 ₴ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 389.87 ₴ +221.35 ₴ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

souvenirSteam

×7

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

409.57 ₴

at 58.51

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) — 60.27 ₴ +1.76 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) — 63.78 ₴ +5.27 ₴ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 68.46 ₴ +9.95 ₴ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0753

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 878.53 ₴ +45.19 (+5.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −333 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

143.72 ₴

at 143.72

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 168.52 ₴ +24.80 ₴ per item · on the market 175 · buy 0.0000–0.0680
Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 170.89 ₴ +27.17 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0666
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 196.99 ₴ +53.27 ₴ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0748

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

505.56 ₴

at 168.52

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 170.89 ₴ +2.37 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 171.51 ₴ +2.99 ₴ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 389.87 ₴ +221.35 ₴ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0046

souvenirSteam

×1

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

34.50 ₴

at 34.50

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) — 39.26 ₴ +4.75 ₴ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.1500–0.1639
Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) — 41.29 ₴ +6.78 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.1639
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Field-Tested) — 43.90 ₴ +9.39 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1639

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

292.55 ₴

at 58.51

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) — 60.27 ₴ +1.76 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) — 63.78 ₴ +5.27 ₴ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 68.46 ₴ +9.95 ₴ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0748

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 976.34 ₴ +1.03 (+0.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −78 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

337.04 ₴

at 168.52

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 170.89 ₴ +2.37 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 171.51 ₴ +2.99 ₴ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 389.87 ₴ +221.35 ₴ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

souvenirSteam

×1

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

34.50 ₴

at 34.50

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) — 39.26 ₴ +4.75 ₴ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.1500–0.1628
Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) — 41.29 ₴ +6.78 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.1628
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Field-Tested) — 43.90 ₴ +9.39 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1628

Steam

×7

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

409.57 ₴

at 58.51

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) — 60.27 ₴ +1.76 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) — 63.78 ₴ +5.27 ₴ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 68.46 ₴ +9.95 ₴ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 781.12 ₴ +88.97 (+11.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 371.95 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

578.96 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 831.77 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

259.94 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

343.53 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 463.59 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 605.53 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

1 413.08 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −17.24 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +58.35 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401026 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 109.42₴ · invest 651.33₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build

What you get 8 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build