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The 2021 Train Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +19.00$

Invest 126.07$

Average return 145.07$

ROI +15.1%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 315.10 $, profit at most −170.03 $

float premium: at least 173 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −39 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

91.07 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×1

Souvenir MAG-7 | Prism Terrace

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

35.00 $

at 35.00

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Factory New) — 36.57 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
Souvenir Galil AR | CAUTION! (Factory New) — 95.20 $ +60.20 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 126.07 $ +19.00 (+15.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

76.06 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

74.02 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

332.17 $ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Factory New

float up to 0.016891

256.78 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Hazard Pay

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

186.37 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −17.21 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.90 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The 2021 Vertigo Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build