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The 2021 Train Collection + The Ancient Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −12 459.77₽

Invest at least 24 410.68₽

Average return 11 950.91₽

ROI −51.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 24 410.68 ₽, profit at most −12 459.77 ₽

float premium: at least 13 304 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 731 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

7 330.41 ₽

at 814.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 1 398.46 ₽ +583.97 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0095
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 1 431.40 ₽ +616.91 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 1 680.22 ₽ +865.73 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×1

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2 375.79 ₽

at 2 375.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) — 2 662.88 ₽ +287.09 ₽ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) — 6 842.00 ₽ +4 466.21 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 9 706.20 ₽ +2 244.71 (+23.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 404 ₽

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

5 701.43 ₽

at 814.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 1 398.46 ₽ +583.97 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0097
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 1 431.40 ₽ +616.91 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 1 680.22 ₽ +865.73 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0083

Steam

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

7 127.37 ₽

at 2 375.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) — 2 662.88 ₽ +287.09 ₽ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) — 6 842.00 ₽ +4 466.21 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 12 828.80 ₽ +520.15 (+4.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 067 ₽

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

6 515.92 ₽

at 814.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 1 398.46 ₽ +583.97 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0096
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 1 431.40 ₽ +616.91 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 1 680.22 ₽ +865.73 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

×2

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

4 751.58 ₽

at 2 375.79

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) — 2 662.88 ₽ +287.09 ₽ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) — 6 842.00 ₽ +4 466.21 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 11 267.50 ₽ +1 382.43 (+12.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

6 122.70 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

5 958.00 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 738.33 ₽ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Panthera onca

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

24 958.25 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

P90 | Run and Hide

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

16 998.56 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −698.08 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 714.18 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3368849 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 2 148.81₽ · invest 9 746.01₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 771 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005361 instead of 0.005466
Craft 3367410 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 2 033.91₽ · invest 8 352.61₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 325 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005466

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build