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The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +29.96$

Invest 106.24$

Average return 136.20$

ROI +28.2%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 272.28 $, profit at most −136.08 $

float premium: at least 150 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

91.07 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0100
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

Steam

×1

Nova | Sobek's Bite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

15.18 $

at 15.18

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | ScaraB Rush (Factory New) — 16.23 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Factory New) — 69.44 $ +54.27 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.24 $ +29.96 (+28.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

60.71 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0124
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0103
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

Steam

×4

Nova | Sobek's Bite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

60.70 $

at 15.18

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | ScaraB Rush (Factory New) — 16.23 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Factory New) — 69.44 $ +54.27 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 121.41 $ +4.06 (+3.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −49 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

70.83 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0115
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0095
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×3

Nova | Sobek's Bite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

45.53 $

at 15.18

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | ScaraB Rush (Factory New) — 16.23 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Factory New) — 69.44 $ +54.27 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.36 $ +12.69 (+10.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

80.95 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0107
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

×2

Nova | Sobek's Bite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

30.35 $

at 15.18

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | ScaraB Rush (Factory New) — 16.23 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Factory New) — 69.44 $ +54.27 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.30 $ +21.33 (+19.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

76.06 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

74.02 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

332.17 $ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

149.05 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Apep's Curse

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

90.16 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Anubis Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Anubis Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Anubis Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.73 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.35 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Anubis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3370261 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 33.00$ · invest 104.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −18 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005571 instead of 0.005750
Craft 3370157 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 32.34$ · invest 114.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −15 $ marketplace price rare inputs

M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004181 instead of 0.005750
Craft 3369365 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 32.14$ · invest 120.74$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005361 instead of 0.005750
Craft 3370143 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 31.64$ · invest 105.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −18 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New)
Craft 3370382 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 31.26$ · invest 103.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New)
Craft 3370293 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 30.86$ · invest 109.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −8 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005750

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build