The 2021 Train Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

6.99 $

at 6.99

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear) — 7.63 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0700–0.1299
AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) — 8.38 $ +1.39 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0700–0.0817
P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) — 9.31 $ +2.32 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.1114

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2553

14.26 $

at 1.58

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.03 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0374
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.46 $ +2.88 $ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.0000–0.0240
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 6.99 $ +5.41 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.25 $ +25.69 (+120.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

22.89 $

at 7.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.49 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0429
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +10.15 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0622
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.24 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0644

Steam

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

20.24 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2564

7.92 $

at 1.58

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.03 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0450
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.46 $ +2.88 $ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.0000–0.0289
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 6.99 $ +5.41 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0644

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.04 $ +5.66 (+11.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −26 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

15.26 $

at 7.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.49 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0428
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +10.15 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0621
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.24 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0643

Steam

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

10.12 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2563

11.09 $

at 1.58

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.03 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0441
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.46 $ +2.88 $ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.0000–0.0283
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 6.99 $ +5.41 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0630

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.46 $ +15.36 (+42.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

15.26 $

at 7.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.49 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0425
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +10.15 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0617
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.24 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0638

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2556

12.67 $

at 1.58

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.03 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0396
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.46 $ +2.88 $ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.0000–0.0255
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 6.99 $ +5.41 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0567

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.93 $ +21.45 (+76.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −30 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

22.89 $

at 7.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.49 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0425
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +10.15 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0617
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.24 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0638

Steam

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

10.12 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2556

9.50 $

at 1.58

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.03 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0393
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.46 $ +2.88 $ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.0000–0.0253
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 6.99 $ +5.41 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0562

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.51 $ +11.76 (+27.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

FAMAS | Djinn

Factory New

float up to 0.066666

40.98 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

float up to 0.153333

13.61 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

98.92 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.026666

76.06 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.041333

74.02 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.109333

87.67 $ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.48 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Chroma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3373953 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 25.85$ · invest 22.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −22 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Monkey Business: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.256684 instead of 0.255344
Craft 3380223 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 25.18$ · invest 19.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255749 instead of 0.255344
Craft 3380249 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 24.10$ · invest 22.69$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255749 instead of 0.255344
Craft 3379516 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 23.75$ · invest 18.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −13 $

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.256217 instead of 0.255344

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build