The 2021 Train Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

10.12 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1628
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0814
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1139

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

37.28 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.91 $ +40.92 (+78.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −51 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

7.63 $

at 7.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.49 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0426
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +10.15 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0619
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.24 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0640

Steam

×6

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

60.71 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

×1

MP7 | Powercore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

1.12 $

at 1.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.13 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.1500–0.2044
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.2044
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.38 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.1022

Steam

×2

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

2.25 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0817
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1144

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71.71 $ +5.17 (+7.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −41 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

20.24 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1625
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0812
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1137

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

29.83 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.57 $ +35.60 (+65.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

30.36 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1623
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1136

Steam

×3

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

22.37 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.23 $ +30.28 (+52.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

40.47 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1621
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0810
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1134

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

14.91 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.90 $ +24.96 (+41.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

34.93 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

275.49 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

19.01 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

76.06 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

74.02 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

87.67 $ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3392298 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.71$ · invest 50.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −37 $ rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.162813; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003776 instead of 0.003899
Craft 3394241 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 42.42$ · invest 45.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −36 $ rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161510 instead of 0.162813; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003503 instead of 0.003899
Craft 3392979 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.41$ · invest 55.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −46 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163196 instead of 0.162813; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004016 instead of 0.003899
Craft 3394231 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 41.12$ · invest 51.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −42 $ rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.162813; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.003899
Craft 3374069 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 39.33$ · invest 49.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −41 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.162813; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003553 instead of 0.003899

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build