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The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −92.93$

Invest at least 201.70$

Average return 108.78$

ROI −46.1%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 201.70 $, profit at most −92.93 $

float premium: at least 113 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +36.83 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

30.36 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0109
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0091
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

×7

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

52.20 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0087
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0100
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0125

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82.55 $ +26.22 (+31.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −58 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈11, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

10.12 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0115
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0095
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×9

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

67.11 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0105
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0131

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.23 $ +22.69 (+29.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

20.24 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0112
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

×8

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

59.65 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0102
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0128

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 79.89 $ +24.46 (+30.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −41 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

40.47 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0107
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

×6

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

44.74 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0098
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0122

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85.21 $ +27.99 (+32.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −35 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

50.59 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.37 $ +7.25 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0105
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0087
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

37.28 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0096
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.88 $ +29.76 (+33.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

34.93 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

275.49 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

19.01 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

76.06 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

74.02 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

332.17 $ 10.00%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.91 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.22 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build