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The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +2 172.31₽

Invest 9 285.41₽

Average return 11 457.72₽

ROI +23.4%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 23 501.78 ₽, profit at most −12 044.05 ₽

float premium: at least 12 970 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 519 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

7 330.41 ₽

at 814.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 1 398.46 ₽ +583.97 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0096
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 1 431.40 ₽ +616.91 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 1 680.22 ₽ +865.73 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

1 955.00 ₽

at 1 955.00

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Woodsman (Factory New) — 2 868.94 ₽ +913.94 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
P90 | Death Grip (Factory New) — 3 390.21 ₽ +1 435.21 ₽ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0108
P250 | Red Rock (Factory New) — 3 606.56 ₽ +1 651.56 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 285.41 ₽ +2 172.31 (+23.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 768 ₽

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

5 701.43 ₽

at 814.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 1 398.46 ₽ +583.97 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 1 431.40 ₽ +616.91 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 1 680.22 ₽ +865.73 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

5 865.00 ₽

at 1 955.00

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Woodsman (Factory New) — 2 868.94 ₽ +913.94 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
P90 | Death Grip (Factory New) — 3 390.21 ₽ +1 435.21 ₽ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0113
P250 | Red Rock (Factory New) — 3 606.56 ₽ +1 651.56 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 566.43 ₽ +302.95 (+2.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 643 ₽

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

6 515.92 ₽

at 814.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 1 398.46 ₽ +583.97 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0098
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 1 431.40 ₽ +616.91 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 1 680.22 ₽ +865.73 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

3 910.00 ₽

at 1 955.00

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Woodsman (Factory New) — 2 868.94 ₽ +913.94 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0088
P90 | Death Grip (Factory New) — 3 390.21 ₽ +1 435.21 ₽ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0110
P250 | Red Rock (Factory New) — 3 606.56 ₽ +1 651.56 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0110

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 425.92 ₽ +1 237.63 (+11.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 63%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

6 122.70 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

5 958.00 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 738.33 ₽ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

6 419.43 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Sugar Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.007432

12 203.54 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellfire

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

27 297.22 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −672.02 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 703.07 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3370265 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2 325.04₽ · invest 7 978.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −826 ₽ rare inputs

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005524

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build