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The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −36 025.74₸

Invest at least 101 347.63₸

Average return 65 321.89₸

ROI −35.5%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 101 347.63 ₸, profit at most −36 025.74 ₸

float premium: at least 57 012 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1713

14 697.74 ₸

at 14 697.74

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Meltdown (Minimal Wear) — 14 867.80 ₸ +170.07 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.1105
USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) — 20 071.62 ₸ +5 373.89 ₸ per item · on the market 112 · buy 0.1500–0.2645

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3864

2 688.63 ₸

at 2 688.63

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) — 3 008.80 ₸ +320.17 ₸ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.1500–0.2857
XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 3 048.84 ₸ +360.21 ₸ per item · on the market 200 · buy 0.1500–0.2665

Steam

×8

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2620

24 630.54 ₸

at 3 078.82

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 3 048.84 ₸ cheaper by 29.98 ₸ · on the market 200 · buy 0.1500–0.1511
AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 7 404.29 ₸ +4 325.47 ₸ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0708

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42 016.91 ₸ +23 304.98 (+55.5%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

29 395.47 ₸

at 14 697.74

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Meltdown (Minimal Wear) — 14 867.80 ₸ +170.07 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.1053
USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) — 20 071.62 ₸ +5 373.89 ₸ per item · on the market 112 · buy 0.1500–0.2548

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

6 097.68 ₸

at 3 048.84

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 3 078.82 ₸ +29.98 ₸ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.2500–0.2751
AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 7 404.29 ₸ +4 355.45 ₸ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0933

Steam

×6

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2575

18 472.91 ₸

at 3 078.82

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 15 144.16 ₸ +12 065.34 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0500–0.0629
XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 16 141.85 ₸ +13 063.03 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1400–0.1469

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53 966.06 ₸ +13 988.28 (+25.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 849 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

FAMAS | Meltdown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

44 603.41 ₸

at 14 867.80

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) — 20 071.62 ₸ +5 203.82 ₸ per item · on the market 112 · buy 0.1500–0.1969
MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear) — 21 713.36 ₸ +6 845.55 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.1147

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

6 097.68 ₸

at 3 048.84

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 3 078.82 ₸ +29.98 ₸ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.2500–0.2733
AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 7 404.29 ₸ +4 355.45 ₸ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0903

Steam

×5

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2565

15 394.09 ₸

at 3 078.82

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 15 144.16 ₸ +12 065.34 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0500–0.0613
XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 16 141.85 ₸ +13 063.03 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1400–0.1460

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66 095.18 ₸ +4 491.66 (+6.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 8%

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

41 412.06 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

102 773.69 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Emerald)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

47 674.01 ₸ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 1)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

47 674.01 ₸ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 2)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

47 674.01 ₸ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 3)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

47 674.01 ₸ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 4)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

47 674.01 ₸ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Coalition

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

375 826.46 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12 879.46 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20 791.82 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3396304 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 25 132.96₸ · invest 50 042.76₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Propaganda (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385485 instead of 0.386495; R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested): float at most 0.260186 instead of 0.262063

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build