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The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −53.03$

Invest at least 104.62$

Average return 51.59$

ROI −50.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 104.62 $, profit at most −53.03 $

float premium: at least 62 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

31.76 $

at 3.53

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Field-Tested) — 3.75 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1500–0.1656
P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) — 3.82 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.1500–0.1656

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

9.77 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0236

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.53 $ +10.07 (+24.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1688

24.70 $

at 3.53

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Field-Tested) — 3.75 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1500–0.1688
P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) — 3.82 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.1500–0.1688

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

16.86 $

at 8.43

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) — 16.70 $ +8.27 $ per item · on the market 620 · buy 0.0700–0.0781

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

9.77 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0243

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.33 $ +1.97 (+3.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

28.23 $

at 3.53

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Field-Tested) — 3.75 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1500–0.1671
P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) — 3.82 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.1500–0.1671

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

8.43 $

at 8.43

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) — 16.70 $ +8.27 $ per item · on the market 620 · buy 0.0700–0.0777

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

9.77 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0239

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.43 $ +6.02 (+13.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

39.44 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Falak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

77.27 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

80.51 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.029999

102.10 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Afterimage

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076999

21.81 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.84 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.09 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3373702 · The Arabesque Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 10.01$ · invest 38.91$
rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New)
Craft 3373389 · The Arabesque Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 9.77$ · invest 40.39$
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build