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The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +19.62$

Invest 43.68$

Average return 63.30$

ROI +44.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 108.42 $, profit at most −45.12 $

float premium: at least 48 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +20.58 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

3.53 $

at 3.53

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Field-Tested) — 3.75 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1500–0.1673
P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) — 3.82 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.1500–0.1673

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

7.41 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 7.65 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 112 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Minimal Wear) — 8.96 $ +1.55 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

×8

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

32.74 $

at 4.09

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 5.15 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.89 $ +7.80 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 36.13 $ +32.04 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.68 $ +19.62 (+44.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 $

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

29.63 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 7.65 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 112 · buy 0.0700–0.0807
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Minimal Wear) — 8.96 $ +1.55 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.0807

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

56.05 $

at 14.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Factory New) — 15.92 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Factory New) — 22.15 $ +8.14 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

8.19 $

at 4.09

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 5.15 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0807
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.89 $ +7.80 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0022
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 36.13 $ +32.04 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.0807

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.86 $ +3.83 (+4.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −40 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1777

3.53 $

at 3.53

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Field-Tested) — 3.75 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1500–0.1777
P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) — 3.82 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.1500–0.1777

Steam

×9

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

36.83 $

at 4.09

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 5.15 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0796
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.89 $ +7.80 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0021
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 36.13 $ +32.04 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.0796

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.36 $ +17.21 (+42.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −84 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

29.63 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 7.65 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 112 · buy 0.0700–0.0790
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Minimal Wear) — 8.96 $ +1.55 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.0790

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

42.03 $

at 14.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Factory New) — 15.92 $ +1.91 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Factory New) — 22.15 $ +8.14 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0078

Steam

×3

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

12.28 $

at 4.09

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 5.15 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0790
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.89 $ +7.80 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 36.13 $ +32.04 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.0790

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.94 $ +8.02 (+9.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −51 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

22.22 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 7.65 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 112 · buy 0.0700–0.0789
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Minimal Wear) — 8.96 $ +1.55 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.0789

Steam

×7

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

28.65 $

at 4.09

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 5.15 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0789
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.89 $ +7.80 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 36.13 $ +32.04 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.0789

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.87 $ +18.16 (+35.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090833

27.94 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

125.65 $ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46.32 $ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090833

38.53 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

71.86 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Falak

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

179.19 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Huntsman Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.25 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build