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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −702.68$

Invest at least 1 434.83$

Average return 732.15$

ROI −49.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 434.83 $, profit at most −702.68 $

float premium: at least 830 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −464.31 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

82.86 $

at 82.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) — 95.02 $ +12.16 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0023

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

78.02 $

at 26.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.78 $ +49.77 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0587
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +74.02 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0391

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

430.09 $

at 71.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.78 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +28.34 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0036

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 590.97 $ +141.18 (+23.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

165.72 $

at 82.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) — 95.02 $ +12.16 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0019

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

78.02 $

at 26.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.78 $ +49.77 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0575
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +74.02 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0383

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

358.41 $

at 71.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.78 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +28.34 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0029

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 602.15 $ +108.92 (+18.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −142 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

248.58 $

at 82.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) — 95.02 $ +12.16 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0016

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

78.02 $

at 26.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.78 $ +49.77 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0568
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +74.02 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0378

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

286.73 $

at 71.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.78 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +28.34 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0025

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 613.33 $ +76.67 (+12.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −221 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

331.45 $

at 82.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) — 95.02 $ +12.16 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0013

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

78.02 $

at 26.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.78 $ +49.77 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0562
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +74.02 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

215.05 $

at 71.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.78 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +28.34 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0021

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 624.51 $ +44.41 (+7.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −299 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

414.31 $

at 82.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) — 95.02 $ +12.16 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0012

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

78.02 $

at 26.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.78 $ +49.77 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0557
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +74.02 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0371

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

143.36 $

at 71.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.78 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0028
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +28.34 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0019

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 635.69 $ +12.16 (+1.9%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 372.99 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

185.06 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water

Factory New

float up to 0.064307

623.83 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +112.59 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +138.94 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3396223 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 143.43$ · invest 590.36$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074354 instead of 0.078314; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003810 instead of 0.007274
Craft 3394611 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 131.66$ · invest 608.14$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079359 instead of 0.078314; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.007274

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build