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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −36 275.28₽

Invest at least 69 230.21₽

Average return 32 954.93₽

ROI −52.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 69 230.21 ₽, profit at most −36 275.28 ₽

float premium: at least 38 368 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 248 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

5 172.86 ₽

at 5 172.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) — 5 315.59 ₽ +142.73 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0091

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

22 074.84 ₽

at 2 452.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 2 916.13 ₽ +463.37 ₽ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 3 379.59 ₽ +926.83 ₽ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0752

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 247.70 ₽ +5 707.23 (+20.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 968 ₽

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

10 345.72 ₽

at 5 172.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) — 5 315.59 ₽ +142.73 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0146

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

19 622.08 ₽

at 2 452.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 2 916.13 ₽ +463.37 ₽ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0783
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 3 379.59 ₽ +926.83 ₽ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0783

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 967.80 ₽ +786.92 (+2.6%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 671.70 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 185.13 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

15 125.96 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 289.31 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 033.17 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3392251 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 5 726.84₽ · invest 26 981.97₽
profit on prices without salesat least −26 982 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076575 instead of 0.075233

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build