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The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −101.35$

Invest at least 280.36$

Average return 179.01$

ROI −36.1%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 280.36 $, profit at most −101.35 $

float premium: at least 156 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

22.47 $

at 22.47

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) — 24.23 $ +1.75 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.1102
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 27.90 $ +5.42 $ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.0000–0.0330

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

7.21 $

at 7.21

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 10.44 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0482
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +22.60 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0579

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

83.49 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0100
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113.17 $ +65.84 (+58.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

44.95 $

at 22.47

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) — 24.23 $ +1.75 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.1091
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 27.90 $ +5.42 $ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.0000–0.0327

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

83.49 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 128.44 $ +55.99 (+43.6%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

72.68 $

at 24.23

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 27.90 $ +3.67 $ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.0000–0.0227
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 59.02 $ +34.79 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.0000–0.0531

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

27.90 $

at 27.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 59.02 $ +31.12 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.0000–0.0121
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) — 64.39 $ +36.50 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0173

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

62.62 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 163.20 $ +32.08 (+19.6%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

72.68 $

at 24.23

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 27.90 $ +3.67 $ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.0000–0.0226
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 59.02 $ +34.79 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.0000–0.0528

Steam

×2

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

55.79 $

at 27.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 59.02 $ +31.12 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.0000–0.0113
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) — 64.39 $ +36.50 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0162

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

52.18 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 180.66 $ +20.04 (+11.1%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

72.68 $

at 24.23

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 27.90 $ +3.67 $ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.0000–0.0225
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 59.02 $ +34.79 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

Steam

×3

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

83.69 $

at 27.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 59.02 $ +31.12 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.0000–0.0106
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) — 64.39 $ +36.50 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0151

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

41.75 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 198.12 $ +8.00 (+4.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

341.96 $ 45.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

57.29 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

230.04 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.028307

293.91 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +33.74 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +54.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3383629 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 69.17$ · invest 103.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076478 instead of 0.077206; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005668 instead of 0.006305
Craft 3382064 · The Clutch Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 68.96$ · invest 95.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076478 instead of 0.077206; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005668 instead of 0.006305
Craft 3381427 · The Chroma Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 64.51$ · invest 104.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076119 instead of 0.077206; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005354 instead of 0.006305

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build