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The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −234.67₽

Invest at least 414.95₽

Average return 180.28₽

ROI −56.5%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 414.95 ₽, profit at most −234.67 ₽

float premium: at least 228 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

42.12 ₽

at 42.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) — 45.36 ₽ +3.24 ₽ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 84.31 ₽ +42.19 ₽ per item · on the market 599 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) — 364.80 ₽ +322.68 ₽ per item · on the market 148 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×1

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

12.43 ₽

at 12.43

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 14.34 ₽ +1.91 ₽ per item · on the market 795 · buy 0.0700–0.0942
PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 14.51 ₽ +2.08 ₽ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.0700–0.0942
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) — 14.56 ₽ +2.13 ₽ per item · on the market 1 146 · buy 0.0700–0.0942

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

114.72 ₽

at 14.34

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 14.51 ₽ +0.17 ₽ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) — 14.56 ₽ +0.22 ₽ per item · on the market 1 146 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 15.88 ₽ +1.54 ₽ per item · on the market 600 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 169.27 ₽ +11.01 (+6.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

84.24 ₽

at 42.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) — 45.36 ₽ +3.24 ₽ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 84.31 ₽ +42.19 ₽ per item · on the market 599 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) — 364.80 ₽ +322.68 ₽ per item · on the market 148 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

Steam

×4

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

49.72 ₽

at 12.43

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 14.34 ₽ +1.91 ₽ per item · on the market 795 · buy 0.0700–0.0947
PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 14.51 ₽ +2.08 ₽ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.0700–0.0947
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) — 14.56 ₽ +2.13 ₽ per item · on the market 1 146 · buy 0.0700–0.0947

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

57.36 ₽

at 14.34

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 14.51 ₽ +0.17 ₽ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) — 14.56 ₽ +0.22 ₽ per item · on the market 1 146 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 15.88 ₽ +1.54 ₽ per item · on the market 600 · buy 0.0700–0.0748

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.32 ₽ +1.75 (+0.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

165.87 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

198.06 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

244.76 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

124.80 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229.60 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

281.44 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

549.83 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

289.23 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

238.32 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −22.50 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4.07 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3389247 · The Fracture Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 11.95₽ · invest 159.00₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074665 instead of 0.074487; SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074665 instead of 0.074487
Craft 3377630 · The CS20 Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 11.70₽ · invest 172.74₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074813 instead of 0.074487; SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074813 instead of 0.074487
Craft 3382223 · The Clutch Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 11.27₽ · invest 155.16₽
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074733 instead of 0.074487; SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074733 instead of 0.074487

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build