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The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −7 752.51₽

Invest at least 13 806.68₽

Average return 6 054.17₽

ROI −56.1%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 13 806.68 ₽, profit at most −7 752.51 ₽

float premium: at least 7 906 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1 809.12 ₽

at 1 809.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) — 1 950.20 ₽ +141.08 ₽ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.1058
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 245.58 ₽ +436.46 ₽ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.0000–0.0317

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1 700.90 ₽

at 340.18

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 471.12 ₽ +130.94 ₽ per item · on the market 409 · buy 0.0700–0.1081
Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 516.00 ₽ +175.82 ₽ per item · on the market 530 · buy 0.0700–0.1111

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

2 409.20 ₽

at 602.30

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 942.57 ₽ +340.27 ₽ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 128.93 ₽ +526.63 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 919.22 ₽ +134.95 (+2.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

4 585.00 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 813.52 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

18 517.49 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080499

18 141.64 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −527.23 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −88.25 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build