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Crafts · The Breakout Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₽

The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −10 272.60₽

Invest at least 20 018.29₽

Average return 9 745.69₽

ROI −51.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 20 018.29 ₽, profit at most −10 272.60 ₽

float premium: at least 11 045 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 634 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1741

1 573.98 ₽

at 1 573.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 614.48 ₽ +1 040.50 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0522
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 2 885.04 ₽ +1 311.06 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1219

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

2 409.20 ₽

at 602.30

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 880.13 ₽ +277.83 ₽ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.1144
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 1 050.20 ₽ +447.90 ₽ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0700–0.1176

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

4 421.35 ₽

at 884.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 912.85 ₽ +1 028.58 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0107
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 1 973.03 ₽ +1 088.76 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0110

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 404.53 ₽ +1 341.16 (+16.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 836 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1717

3 147.96 ₽

at 1 573.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 614.48 ₽ +1 040.50 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0515
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 2 885.04 ₽ +1 311.06 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1202

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

1 806.90 ₽

at 602.30

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 880.13 ₽ +277.83 ₽ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.1132
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 1 050.20 ₽ +447.90 ₽ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0700–0.1163

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

4 421.35 ₽

at 884.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 912.85 ₽ +1 028.58 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0096
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 1 973.03 ₽ +1 088.76 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 376.21 ₽ +1 056.94 (+11.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 037 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1695

4 721.94 ₽

at 1 573.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 614.48 ₽ +1 040.50 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0508
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 2 885.04 ₽ +1 311.06 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1186

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

1 204.60 ₽

at 602.30

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 880.13 ₽ +277.83 ₽ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.1121
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 1 050.20 ₽ +447.90 ₽ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0700–0.1151

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

4 421.35 ₽

at 884.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 912.85 ₽ +1 028.58 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 1 973.03 ₽ +1 088.76 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0089

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 347.89 ₽ +772.71 (+7.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 239 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

6 295.92 ₽

at 1 573.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 614.48 ₽ +1 040.50 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0502
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 2 885.04 ₽ +1 311.06 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1172

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

602.30 ₽

at 602.30

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 880.13 ₽ +277.83 ₽ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.1110
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 1 050.20 ₽ +447.90 ₽ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0700–0.1141

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

4 421.35 ₽

at 884.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 912.85 ₽ +1 028.58 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 1 973.03 ₽ +1 088.76 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 319.57 ₽ +488.49 (+4.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 440 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

7 869.90 ₽

at 1 573.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 614.48 ₽ +1 040.50 ₽ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0496
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 2 885.04 ₽ +1 311.06 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1158

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

4 421.35 ₽

at 884.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 912.85 ₽ +1 028.58 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 1 973.03 ₽ +1 088.76 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0070

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 291.25 ₽ +204.27 (+1.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

6 311.24 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 522.70 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

17 714.82 ₽ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080499

18 930.62 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −46.93 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 054.57 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3389377 · The Fracture Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 1 341.80₽ · invest 9 207.48₽
profit on prices without salesat least −9 207 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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