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Crafts · The Breakout Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Breakout Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +20.43$

Invest 43.32$

Average return 63.75$

ROI +47.2%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 106.33 $, profit at most −42.57 $

float premium: at least 60 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +28.25 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

29.03 $

at 4.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 4.27 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 4.92 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 9.90 $ +5.75 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

14.29 $

at 4.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) — 4.93 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.1616
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 5.64 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.1616
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) — 7.57 $ +2.81 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1131

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.32 $ +20.43 (+47.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −91 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

4.15 $

at 4.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 4.27 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 4.92 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.0000–0.0091
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 9.90 $ +5.75 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0183

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

59.88 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

29.76 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Factory New) — 15.40 $ +0.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New) — 18.85 $ +3.97 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New) — 29.12 $ +14.24 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0078

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.79 $ +25.20 (+26.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −78 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

8.29 $

at 4.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 4.27 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 4.92 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 9.90 $ +5.75 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0161

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

59.88 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0528

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

14.88 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Factory New) — 15.40 $ +0.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New) — 18.85 $ +3.97 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New) — 29.12 $ +14.24 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0069

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.06 $ +26.73 (+32.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

24.88 $

at 4.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 4.27 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 4.92 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 9.90 $ +5.75 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0148

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

9.53 $

at 4.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) — 4.93 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.1645
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 5.64 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.1645
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) — 7.57 $ +2.81 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1152

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

17.11 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0525

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.52 $ +21.44 (+41.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −65 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

12.44 $

at 4.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New) — 4.27 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) — 4.92 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New) — 9.90 $ +5.75 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0144

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

59.88 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.32 $ +28.25 (+39.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.017045

32.48 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Factory New

float up to 0.056818

35.81 $ 23.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.039772

56.37 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

202.65 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Factory New

float up to 0.055681

109.05 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Factory New

float up to 0.039772

130.58 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.98 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19.18 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3396175 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 25.63$ · invest 43.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −20 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Koi (Factory New); StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165280 instead of 0.161699
Craft 3389688 · The Gallery Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 19.38$ · invest 46.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −35 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Koi (Factory New); StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165201 instead of 0.161699

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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