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Crafts · The Breakout Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −87.57$

Invest at least 196.66$

Average return 109.09$

ROI −44.5%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 196.66 $, profit at most −87.57 $

float premium: at least 112 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

19.55 $

at 19.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.48 $ +12.93 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0520
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.84 $ +16.29 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1213

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3871

18.97 $

at 6.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.41 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3209
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.76 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.3800–0.4451

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

44.44 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2859
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1121

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82.97 $ +26.12 (+31.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −151 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1828

156.43 $

at 19.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.48 $ +12.93 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0548
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.84 $ +16.29 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1279

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1828

14.81 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2961
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1297

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 171.24 $ +3.73 (+2.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −83 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

97.77 $

at 19.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.48 $ +12.93 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0524
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.84 $ +16.29 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1223

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5093

5.92 $

at 5.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) — 6.72 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.3800–0.3865
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) — 9.94 $ +4.02 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.4500–0.5159

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

29.63 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2875
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1148

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 133.32 $ +13.42 (+10.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −173 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1737

175.98 $

at 19.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.48 $ +12.93 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0521
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.84 $ +16.29 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1216

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1737

7.41 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2864
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1129

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183.39 $ +0.99 (+0.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −61 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

78.21 $

at 19.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.48 $ +12.93 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0511
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.84 $ +16.29 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1194

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

12.65 $

at 6.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.41 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3205
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.76 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.3800–0.4446

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

29.63 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2830
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1070

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120.49 $ +16.84 (+14.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.114130

75.03 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.130434

154.24 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081521

210.55 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

235.18 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.48 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.34 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3398354 · The Prisma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 26.74$ · invest 90.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385340 instead of 0.387110; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167546 instead of 0.173363

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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