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The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +5.69₴

Invest 84.53₴

Average return 90.22₴

ROI +6.7%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 213.71 ₴, profit at most −123.49 ₴

float premium: at least 119 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Negev | Desert-Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

18.28 ₴

at 18.28

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) — 22.81 ₴ +4.53 ₴ per item · on the market 285 · buy 0.0700–0.0792
P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested) — 23.76 ₴ +5.48 ₴ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.1500–0.1584
UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) — 23.77 ₴ +5.49 ₴ per item · on the market 492 · buy 0.0000–0.0633

Steam

×9

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1765

66.24 ₴

at 7.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested) — 8.30 ₴ +0.94 ₴ per item · on the market 934 · buy 0.1500–0.1561
P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested) — 8.60 ₴ +1.24 ₴ per item · on the market 1 514 · buy 0.1500–0.1951
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) — 11.28 ₴ +3.92 ₴ per item · on the market 1 269 · buy 0.1500–0.1958

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.53 ₴ +5.69 (+6.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 32%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

104.52 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Field-Tested

float up to 0.167499

72.81 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

134.79 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

106.34 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

104.52 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Koi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

110.43 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

83.14 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.27 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.67 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3384019 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 5.59₴ · invest 79.23₴
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173888 instead of 0.176509
Craft 3398512 · The Radiant Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 5.55₴ · invest 81.45₴
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170131 instead of 0.176509
Craft 3398513 · The Radiant Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 5.43₴ · invest 81.92₴
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162735 instead of 0.176509

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build