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The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +0.08$

Invest 12.47$

Average return 12.55$

ROI +0.6%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 32.51 $, profit at most −19.96 $

float premium: at least 20 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

M249 | Aztec

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1761

0.63 $

at 0.63

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Plastique (Field-Tested) — 0.63 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.1500–0.1879
P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) — 0.68 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 330 · buy 0.1500–0.1597
MP5-SD | Agent (Field-Tested) — 0.72 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.1500–0.2348

Steam

×9

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1761

11.84 $

at 1.32

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Exothermic (Field-Tested) — 2.98 $ +1.67 $ per item · on the market 707 · buy 0.1500–0.1761

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.47 $ +0.08 (+0.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Party Animal

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15.40 $ 90.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Death by Puppy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

4.97 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Hydra

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

6.90 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Nostalgia

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142499

5.35 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.97 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.43 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3393497 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 0.08$ · invest 13.19$
rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169136 instead of 0.176174

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build